This just in from (former?) candidate for Maryland governor Larry Hogan:
Six months ago, it seemed Maryland Republicans had very little chance of capturing the governor’s seat. Democrats were still flying high from the big wins of 2008 and looked pretty invincible. Heavily in debt, and with Governor Ehrlich on the sidelines, our State Party appeared to have little hope leading into 2010. In that environment, I decided to step up to the plate and form an exploratory committee to consider running for Governor of Maryland.
I believed very strongly that the incumbent governor’s failed record of lost jobs, higher spending, record tax increases and broken promises was unacceptable. We just could not afford another four years of Martin O’Malley. I felt that we needed to stand up and fight back for struggling families and small businesses, and believed that the people of Maryland deserved to have a strong clear choice for a change. As I traveled across the State I found that a lot of people felt the same way and that they were fed up with politics as usual in Washington and in Annapolis.
Our exploratory effort succeeded beyond my wildest dreams. Our message has been resonating and our movement has been growing. We have thousands of committed supporters and volunteers across the entire State of Maryland. We earned the support of state and national party leaders, have been receiving media attention and are being taken seriously as a viable and credible challenger to O’Malley. We invested the initial money necessary to get started, have a winning campaign plan and have built an organization second to none. It has been such a rewarding and humbling experience to gain the enthusiastic support of so many wonderful people.
The environment for challenging the status quo and taking on the monopoly has become much better since we started our effort. The energy and enthusiasm has continued to grow and the wins in Virginia, New Jersey, and Scott Brown’s win in Massachusetts have energized even more people. The winds of change are blowing and Maryland is not immune to that change. I am now absolutely convinced that we could put together a winning campaign that would send a loud and clear message to Annapolis that they would hear all the way in Washington.
This effort has never been about me. From the beginning, it has always been about all of us, and about Maryland’s future. Maryland Republicans certainly cannot afford a bruising and expensive primary. If we are to be successful here in Maryland, we simply must all get behind one candidate. While I am convinced I could win this race, I also know that there is another candidate with more name recognition, and the ability to raise more money, who will allow us to put our best team on the field.
From day one, I said that if I were needed, I would step up to the challenge on behalf of the party and the State, but that I had no intention of running against my friend Governor Bob Ehrlich. Bob Ehrlich and I have been close friends for 30 years, since back when I was Chairman of Youth for Reagan and President of the Young Republicans. His involvement in politics started as a volunteer in my dad’s race for U.S. Senate, and he worked hard for me in my race against Steny Hoyer. I supported him in all his races, and had the honor of serving as a Cabinet Secretary in his Administration.
Today I am officially concluding my exploratory committee and calling on my friend Bob Ehrlich to enter this race for governor. Not only do I believe that Bob Ehrlich should run, but I am convinced he will run and that we should all push in the same direction to elect him as Maryland’s next governor. He not only has my endorsement, but he will have my enthusiastic support, as he always has, and nobody will work harder to make sure we win in November. It is my sincere hope that all my many great friends and supporters will join me in getting behind Governor Ehrlich and helping us take back our State in November.
I am honored and privileged to have received so much support during this exploratory effort. And, while today marks the end of my exploratory effort, I will still be standing on the frontlines continuing the fight to change Maryland.
Now we’re going to have to wait and see if Ehrlich takes the bait or continues to maintain his “wait-and-see” approach until March as the schedule seems to be. Obviously Larry Hogan and the Maryland GOP are screwed if, in the end, Ehrlich says no.
It’s what happens when a person gets to be bigger than a party. Maybe it’s just a perception I have, but I think more people would be disappointed if Ehrlich runs and loses yet we gain a couple dozen seats in the General Assembly and regain the First Congressional District seat than would be the case if Ehrlich won but otherwise the status quo remained. Long-term I think the former would be better for the Maryland GOP in building a farm team for the remainder of this decade and beyond. (And that’s not to say Ehrlich can’t win, but I think he should’ve jumped in much sooner.)
We have known all along, though, that Larry Hogan (and Mike Pappas before him) were, in a sense, “placeholder” candidates. But I believe no one person has a “right” to run for a particular office because they held it and lost – it’s as obnoxious a concept to me as saying it’s so-and-so’s “turn” to run for President as a reward for long years of service. That’s a surefire route to defeat.
I disagree with Larry Hogan in that a primary isn’t a bad thing if done correctly. Some may point to the 2008 1st District GOP primary as proof that contested primaries are a bad practice, but things were just fine until one losing contender took his sour grapes across party lines, reinforcing the opinion voters had of him being a sellout to the other party in the first place. If all the contenders in a primary have the character and fortitude to remember that their true opponent is on the November ballot (and not the September one) a primary is a good idea for judging contenders on their merits.
So now we’ll all be forced to see whether Bob Ehrlich will indeed go ahead with his grudge rematch with Governor O’Malley. I think he enjoys this attention, don’t you?
4 thoughts on “Ask, and you may receive…but only on HIS terms”
I agree with you that it would be much better for the GOP (and Maryland) if we built up a farm team. It’s pretty bad when there are few high-profile Republicans to run statewide races. You are also right that people put too much stock in high profile races and tend to ignore down ballot races. In fact, it will have much more effect on you and me if we can get a Republican county executive and a very solid GOP-dominated county council than if Ehrlich wins. Local races and, to a lesser extent, legislative races are much more important than the governor’s race for many issues.
I disagree, though, that everything was “just fine” in 2008 until Gilchrest endorsed Kratovil. I don’t really think Gilchrest’s endorsement did all that much for Kratovil other than give a visible indication that many Republicans were upset with Harris. Harris still would have lost without Gilchrest’s treachery. The primary, in my opinion, was incredibly damaging to all three candidates, as each one decided the way to win was to throw as much mud at each other and by appealing to the lowest common denominator in voters. That’s not to say that I’m opposed to vigorous primary contests, but I certainly wouldn’t hold up the 2008 first district primary as a good example of how these contests should work. By your remarks about how contenders should behave, I think you and I are pretty close to agreement.
Based on polling data throughout the summer and into the heat of the campaign in 2008, Harris was leading handily. My contention is that, had Gilchrest swallowed his pride and endorsed Harris – or even just stayed mum out of party loyalty as opposed to dislike for Andy – Harris would have pulled the election out. You only needed to change about 1,500 minds to change the election and that’s a tiny minority out of the hundreds of thousands who voted.
I wasn’t holding the 2008 Congressional primary as a good example of how primaries should be conducted. My point was that the contenders should point out the differences among themselves but train their heaviest guns on the opposition. In most cases, a contested GOP primary against a Democratic incumbent should focus on the weakness of the Democrat but the 2008 Congressional primary was different because the Democrat was unknown and there were a lot of conservative voters fed up with the liberalism of Wayne Gilchrest (myself included.)
If there somehow turned out to be an Ehrlich vs. Hogan primary it would give GOP voters a chance to decide whether they wanted the same old same old or new blood. It certainly wouldn’t feature mudslinging, and would be conducted pretty much like the GOP primary for the U.S. Senate seat has gone thus far.
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