A two-point gain for John McCain
Aside from the neat rhyme I came up with for the title, I think I’m getting this political prediction stuff down a little bit. You may recall what I said when former Presidential candidate Sam Brownback dropped out of the Presidential race:
My money is on (Brownback endorsing) McCain as he’s a fellow Senator and has a similar stance on immigration as well. It would give a little bit of a boost to McCain, who was once the odds-on favorite but slipped deep into the field after the immigration fiasco.
Interestingly enough to me, the basis of the endorsement seemed to be on McCain’s pro-life stance. Not mentioned was the commonality of their views on immigration, which is an issue resonating with more voters.
Overall, it looks like John McCain could be resurrecting his campaign as the anti-Giuliani on social issues. While Mike Huckabee treads much of the same ground, McCain has more experience with Presidential politics and is running one to twelve points ahead of Huckabee in national polling.
Like Tommy Thompson’s tasks within the Rudy Giuliani presidential bid, Brownback moves into a position within the McCain campaign that could draw him to places like Delmarva. As a General Co-Chair, Brownback’s first task was to accompany McCain on a campaign swing through Iowa and Michigan.
Crossposted on Red Maryland.
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[...] With Tancredo leaving the race, that makes three former candidates who have endorsed three different Oval Office hopefuls – Tancredo with Romney today, Tommy Thompson throwing his support behind Rudy Giuliani in October, and Sam Brownback backing John McCain after he exited the race last month. Brownback shared some of his perspective about his endorsement of McCain in the National Journal this week: Q: What was the deciding factor for you to endorse Sen. John McCain? Brownback: I looked and I thought about all the candidates a lot. I prayed about it, and for me it really came down to Mike Huckabee and John McCain. But I really felt that John was the one that could best compete and win ultimately in the fall of 2008. « Halfway home [...]