The former Godfather Pizza CEO pulled it out in the end, but a widely split GOP Presidential poll here drew votes for nearly twenty possible contenders. This goes to show that…we need to see just who will enter the field for sure, as Cain is the first reasonable contender to establish an exploratory committee.
This is how they finished:
- Herman Cain (former Godfather Pizza CEO, radio host) – 10 (12.82%)
- Gary Johnson (former New Mexico governor) – 9 (11.54%)
- Chris Christie (New Jersey governor) – 8 (10.26%)
- Ron Paul (Congressman from Texas, 2008 Presidential candidate) – 8 (10.26%)
- Newt Gingrich (former Speaker of the House) – 7 (8.97%)
- Sarah Palin (2008 VP candidate, former Alaska governor) – 6 (7.69%)
- Rudy Giuliani (2008 Presidential candidate, former NYC mayor) – 5 (6.41%)
- Michele Bachmann (Congressman from Minnesota) – 4 (5.13%)
- Tim Pawlenty (outgoing Minnesota governor) – 4 (5.13%)
- Mitt Romney (2008 Presidential candidate, former Massachusetts governor) – 3 (3.85%)
- Donald Trump (businessman) – 3 (3.85%)
- Mitch Daniels (Indiana governor) – 2 (2.56%)
- Jim DeMint (Senator from South Carolina) – 2 (2.56%)
- Paul Ryan (Congressman from Wisconsin) – 2 (2.56%) – write-in
- Rick Santorum (former Senator from Pennsylvania) – 2 (2.56%)
- George Allen (former Senator from Virginia) – 1 (1.28%) – write-in
- Mike Pence (Congressman from Indiana) – 1 (1.28%) – withdrew
- John Thune (Senator from North Dakota) – 1 (1.28%)
- Haley Barbour (Mississippi governor) – 0 (o%)
- Mike Huckabee (2008 Presidential candidate, former Arkansas governor) – 0 (0%)
If you look at your top 6 candidates in this poll, you’d find the TEA Party carried a great amount of influence along with the libertarian wing of the GOP (who would tend to support Ron Paul and Gary Johnson.)
But would all of them be viable? Time will tell, but if you look at the top contenders from 2008 there’s little desire for a rewarmed candidate. Since I don’t consider Ron Paul as an ‘establishment’ candidate, the top votegetter among the group was Rudy Giuliani with 5 votes. Even combining the other 2008 aspirants (including Paul) they collected just 16 votes, which is barely 20 percent of the total vote. Mike Huckabee was shut out.
The only 2008 names which seem to have support are Ron Paul and Sarah Palin, who didn’t run for the top job four years ago but was added to the ticket just prior to the GOP convention. She polled reasonably well in this trial, but those who believe the nomination is hers to lose may want to think again.
Over the next month or two we’ll likely see the field shake out a bit as some of the bottom-feeders (and maybe a top name or two) decide to take a pass. The remainder of the contenders will likely begin getting their teams together for the busy times one year hence.