Kratovil defends his vote

Earlier this week I found this in my e-mail box. I’ll let the guy speak his piece but reserve the right of criticism.

Last weekend, the House of Representatives voted on comprehensive health care reform legislation.  I believe that many of the measures included in this bill can play a part in improving our health care system – expanding coverage to the uninsured, increasing access in rural areas, and reducing health care costs are all priorities.  However, ultimately I was unable to support the bill because I do not believe that H.R. 3962 offered a fiscally sustainable approach to reforming our ailing health care system.  I wanted to share with you an op-ed I wrote that appeared in the Easton Star-Democrat that discusses the health care reform vote in more depth.

I am committed to passing health care reform legislation that cuts costs and insures more people, but I do not believe we can accomplish this in spite of our nation’s long term economic health.  I did not believe that the bill that passed the House met this standard so I will continue to work with my colleagues in Congress in hopes that a better bill can be developed as this process continues to move forward. 

Fair enough. But in his op-ed Frank also notes:

What has struck me the most, however, wasn’t the anger and unruliness that grabbed so many headlines during August, but rather the number of people I would encounter who believed that I should commit to voting one way or the other before even knowing what would be included or excluded from the legislation.   This was perhaps the only aspect of the health care debate that was truly bipartisan; I heard from many Republicans who demanded that I oppose any health care reform package, regardless of its contents, while some Democrats have told me I had a duty to unquestioningly support the bill simply because it was a priority for my party’s leadership.

To me, it’s not a question of party loyalty as it is determining the proper role of government. It’s my belief that government has a very limited role in health care, particularly when it comes to the doctor-patient relationship. It’s true that health insurance needs some sort of reform but the market should be able to take care of it – for example, decoupling health insurance and employment would solve the problem of needing to keep a job to maintain health insurance.

Where goernment can help is to roll back the regulations and mandates which increase the price of insurance by making insurers cover a myriad of conditions which might not necessarily apply. To me, insurance need not be mandatory but it’s not a bad idea to have it.

And given the $1 billion price that Frank Kratovil’s vote was purchased with for the cap-and-tax legislation, it’s certain that the negotiations have begun for determining how many pieces of silver he’ll sell out for this time. Of course, with 40 Democrats to spare Nancy Pelosi might give him another exemption from toeing the party line. He’ll still get the huge union and special interest donations to his campaign coffers regardless of how he votes, anyway – these folks aren’t stupid and know some Democrats will be cut down in the midterm elections next year. So, if Frank wins he may not have quite so much wiggle room in his next term and someone will be there to remind him which side his bread is buttered on.

Bottom line: Frank Kratovil took an oath to uphold the Constitution, but I can’t find anywhere in the document where it says health care is a right. Voting no on this go-round is good, but showing leadership against this intrusion into our private lives – not just calling on Congress to slow down consideration – would be even better.

Letting loose the attack dogs

You know, for someone who the loony left dares the Republicans to nominate in 2012 because she’s perceived to be the weakest candidate, they sure are running scared of Sarah Palin! This comes from Mitch Stewart at Organizing Against America, the Obama/DNC front group:

Right now, Sarah Palin is on a highly publicized, nationwide book tour, attacking President Obama and his plan for health reform at every turn.

It’s dangerous. Remember, this is the person who coined the term “Death Panels” — and opened the flood gates for months of false attacks by special interests and partisan extremists.

Whatever lie comes next will be widely covered by the media, then constantly echoed by right-wing attack groups and others who are trying to defeat reform.

As we approach the final sprint on health reform, we can’t afford more deception and delay. We need to be ready for anything — and have the resources to respond with ads, events, and calls to Congress when the attacks come.

(snip out blatant financial appeal #1)

Earlier this month, Palin publicly said that she hopes health reform will be “dead on arrival.” And since then, she’s been working fiercely toward that goal.

On Tuesday, Palin went on Rush Limbaugh’s radio show where she outrageously — and falsely — suggested that Americans could “face jail time as punishment” if they don’t buy insurance.

Palin has many more interviews scheduled on Hannity and other conservative shows in the next few weeks, with more platforms to go after the President. As soon as she does, the rest of our opponents will likely parrot those attacks.

We need to be prepared. And we’re counting on you help. Can you chip in $5 or more?

I’d rather chip in the $15 on Amazon and buy Sarah Palin’s book myself.

But there are a couple points which need to be made. Perhaps it’s true that you don’t “face jail time as punishment” under President Obama’s plan, but the problem is we don’t know just what his plan is! (By the way, the jail time would come from the tax law, not necessarily from this bill.)

The second and more important point is that President Obama has his own bully pulpit, yet has not been successful in convincing a overwhelming portion of the population of the benefits of his program. So he has to go into attack mode against an opponent who obviously is figured as a potential 2012 rival – an opponent with tremendous personal popularity. I haven’t gotten e-mails from Mitch Stewart attempting to trash Newt Gingrich, Tim Pawlenty, Mike Huckabee, or Mitt Romney by name.

All I know is that Mitch gave me my laugh for the day and I thought I’d share the idiocy. Oh, one more question: why do they need to ask for money when Obama has his own personal stash? That’s where the women in Detroit thought the stimulus money was coming from.

Friday night videos episode 14

Yes, I survived the Friday the 13th episode 13 that ran 31:13. I make no predictions about this episode aside from it being enjoyable for me to put together and (hopefully) for you to watch.

I’m going to start with this one, which is even set to music – shades of the original FNV – but I picked it out because some of the photos in the montage look awfully familiar to me.

 

Thanks to Julie at Right Coast Girl for that one.

But here’s what we’re up against: Andrew Stern of the Service Employees International Union, a.k.a. “purple shirts.”

ACORN “made mistakes”? Well, I think we made One Big Ass Mistake, America. Let’s hope Sen. Jeff Sessions is right and health care is DOA in the Senate. This is from the Washington News Observer too.

Otherwise, we may just be swallowed up by the nanny state. I’ve enjoyed the videos from this group but only recently noticed I could embed them, so the Center for Individual Freedom makes its FNV debut.

Would you put up a dollar to have Al Gore debate Lord Monckton on global warming? The Competitive Enterprise Institute put up $500 and asks others to chip in. It’s funny to me and makes a great point.

We know that Lord Monckton would lay a smackdown to Al Gore so your dollar is pretty safe in your wallet.

As most people are also aware, putting together a small number of dollars enables you to buy Sarah Palin’s book. This video came out about this time last year, but I wanted to bring it back because it shows many thousands do like and admire Sarah Palin, despite the critics who delight in skewering her.

Because next weekend is Thanksgiving weekend, I will probably skip FNV. I leave you with the immortal words of fictional WKRP owner Arthur Carlson: “As God is my witness…I thought turkeys could fly.”

This bird is flying the coop, at least until episode 15.

Someone save this for 2013…

If there was ever a good blackmail picture for Salisbury Mayor Jim Ireton, holding a stuffed reindeer and coming out of Santa’s Workshop may take the prize. To wit:

Now, mind you, I don’t have any problem with the concept of “Third Friday”, which is why I posted the video now as opposed to waiting for FNV later tonight – by then the event would be over. Unfortunately, I have a previous commitment on Fridays during the winter (and the Shorebirds’ schedule next year – you guessed it – has home games on all the third Fridays next season. Amazing how that works.) So I’m not a denizen of downtown Salisbury during the time period, but perhaps a couple folks can take my place.

Anyway, I suppose this can give more ammunition to those who claim Ireton is a “do-nothing” mayor. But as I recall from some of his campaign promises that may not be such a bad thing.

Making plans for the Governor’s office

Since he can’t get in to measure the drapes in Martin O’Malley’s office, I guess this will have to do for Pat McDonough as an announcement he’s in the race. Perhaps I missed the formal affair where he threw his hat in the ring for Governor?

Anyway, it’s good to know right where he stands on the issues. Try this on for size:

An Executive Order is a legal action a Governor can take without the approval of the General Assembly. This is an example of the first Executive Order that I would issue in my first week in office if I were elected Governor.

EXECUTIVE ORDER

Number One

January 20, 2011

WHEREAS, The State of Maryland has engaged in policies that encourage illegal aliens to assume residence in our state because of benefits our elected officials have provided creating in essence what can be termed a “Sanctuary State.” This situation, which violates federal law has caused unnecessary burdens to be imposed upon our citizens.

NOW, THEREFORE, I, PATRICK L. McDONOUGH, GOVERNOR OF THE STATE OF MARYLAND, BY VIRTUE OF THE AUTHORITY VESTED IN ME BY THE CONSTITUTION AND THE LAWS OF MARYLAND, HEREBY PROCLAIM THE FOLLOWING EXECUTIVE ORDER, EFFECTIVE IMMEDIATELY.

A. The State of Maryland shall enter into a contract with the Department of Homeland Security under federal law initiating the 287G criminal enforcement compact in order to conduct programs protecting public safety and enforcement against illegal aliens’ criminal activity. All law enforcement agencies under the authority of the Governor shall participate.

B. Any business, organization, individual or other entity contracting to do business with the State of Maryland shall sign an affidavit confirming they prohibit the employment of illegal aliens.

C. The Maryland Department of Education shall initiate a professional survey detailing and documenting the number of students in Pre-K through 12 who are receiving taxpayer funded assistance and are designated as unauthorized or illegal residents of the state. After the completion and validation of the number, the State of Maryland shall engage in a lawsuit against the federal government in order to reclaim all past and future funds used by the state in order to educated these students based on the premise that the federal government failed to enforce the immigration law which resulted in placing this burden upon the citizens and taxpayers of Maryland.

Given Under My Hand and Great Seal of Maryland, in the City of Annapolis, this 20th Day of January, 2011.

I don’t know if I’d make this executive order number one, but then again observers of Maryland politics surely know this sort of legislation is DOA in the General Assembly. Also, though, I think I’d add the caveat that grant recipients fall under the same restriction as well – maybe then Andy Harris wouldn’t have to introduce his annual amendment freezing CASA de Maryland out of state funding.

Certainly it’s red meat for the conservative voters out there, and something to compare and contrast to both his primary opponent(s) and Governor O’Malley’s record. At the very least it should bring about debate and comment from at least one of my readers.

Perspective on the MDGOP

As most of my faithful readers know, last weekend marked the occurrence of our most recent state convention. During that convention, the state party adopted a “compromise” voting system solely for this convention and elected a new state chairman, Audrey Scott. Oddly enough, Wicomico County’s delegation had the distinction of being the only county to vote against both proposals, which otherwise carried by huge margins.

I’m not going to say that I speak for the entire local body because I don’t – we all have our reasons for making the decisions we do. Perhaps we have seven people who simply don’t “go along to get along” but I happen to think there’s underlying reasons for our stance as the establishment’s thorn in the side.

It seems to me that Wicomico County looks upon itself as the guardian of the interests of smaller counties, especially those on the Eastern Shore, and their role in the Maryland Republican Party. For the entire term I’ve been on, our county’s delegation has been in the forefront of trying to bring about change in the party by replacing the three Vice Chairs with regional chairs (including one reserved for the Eastern Shore) and scrapping the LCD voting system which marginalized small counties and propped up larger counties, enabling one such county to practically outvote the entire Shore delegation by itself. Having a “one man, one vote” system would at least enable the Shore to have more of a voice and a role in determining the direction of affairs.

With the old system, we had little say in what went on. It was revealed to us by one office-seeker that Eastern Shore delegations needed little more than a cursory visit during a recent convention with a contested officer race because that person needed to secure votes from the larger counties to win. Our tiny share of the vote wasn’t going to make a difference.

As currently constituted, the nine Eastern Shore county delegations would make up 71 of a possible 267 votes at the next convention, assuming all voters are present or represented by proxy. (Cecil and Talbot are at nine apiece; Dorchester, Somerset, Caroline, and Kent have seven members; and Wicomico and Worcester will expand from seven to nine prior to next spring – an action voted on as part of this most recent convention.) Thus, we have 26.6% of the voting strength. But the so-called “compromise” measure diluted our strength to 20.4% of voting power.

Perhaps what irked us the most about the events which transpired is that we had put up similar proposals in previous conventions only to be shouted down and ridiculed by larger counties who liked the status quo. Only when it was determined by careful reading of the rules that we need not use the old LCD voting method did the I-95 corridor counties suddenly come begging for the “compromise” solution.

But the compromise didn’t really accrue to the benefit of small counties and I suspect after careful consideration they may find they were snookered by the larger counties. And, since “one man one vote” is the default voting method, perhaps it’s time to get a little bit better deal next time around! Maybe an agreement to install that regional chairs thing is worth the price paid in giving up a slice of our power – since 226 people were represented by vote or by proxy this time around, getting the Eastern Shore and any one Western Maryland county to vote as a bloc effectively kills any compromise because a rule change requires a 2/3 majority. Any number of horse trades become possible once we figure out that we can have our say! Of course, that would also take vigilance from those on the Rules Committee to make sure the “compromise” voting method is indeed not carried over but reconsidered next time, as promised.

Just grist for the mill.

Now, on to Audrey Scott. My take on her is that she didn’t poll well with us because of a perception she’s part of the establishment, and it was that faction which ousted Jim Pelura – a chairman we liked and admired – from the party’s top position. It’s possible she can win us over, but in mending fences it seems to me that she should come down and meet with us at the first opportunity (Audrey, if you’re reading this we meet the first Monday each month.)

I was personally called by both Audrey Scott and opponent Daniel Vovak, so I got to listen to both pitches. Scott also called into our Central Committee meeting last Monday, although the Skype and local computer only allowed an audio connection which faded in and out.

Obviously Audrey Scott has a lot of work to do with raising money, and the parade started by Mike Collins of Anne Arundel County was a good start. But some high rollers seemingly weren’t playing ball with Jim Pelura yet are happy to help out Audrey Scott, which to me raises a red flag whether they are contributing because they agree with our philosophy or simply to buy a little bit of influence. I’m certainly not naive enough to believe that money plays no part in political decisions but, unless there’s been a change in philosophy eminating from the top, we Republicans are standing for the same principles under Audrey Scott as we did under Jim Pelura – I know my mind hasn’t been changed, I’m still conservative. So are we selling out for the almighty buck? I certainly hope not!

Maybe the county I help to represent has a little bit of Missouri in it – we need to be shown that things will be made better for our interests before we jump on board the bandwagon. It will be interesting to see who offers their services as part of the expanded Central Committee and who decides to stay on after next year’s election. The crop I came in with made up over half the Central Committee and the expansion brings even more turnover unless one of those I helped to replace decides to come back.

There’s a lot we can do to help the state party as a whole, yet the perception we small counties exist as the red-headed stepchildren of the Maryland Republican Party leads to actions like skipping conventions or not sending money into the state party coffers. Obviously it’s detrimental to our cause as a whole but we have to be assured we can get out of the party all that we put into it. We don’t ask for much, just as fair of a shake from the new Chair as we received from the last.

State budget smackdown

For the third time this fiscal year (which only started July 1st, so we’re 4 1/2 months in), the state of Maryland has been forced to make budget cuts. This $360 million in budget actions brings the total to over $1 billion.

Doing his best to make lemonade out of the lemons he grew, Governor Martin O’Malley related, in part:

“These have not been easy decisions, but they have been necessary decisions to balance our State’s budget, and get our state through this recession more quickly and stronger than other states,” said Governor O’Malley.  “Our citizens expect and deserve a government that works, and in spite of the most severe recession in a generation we’ve been working to reform our State government to make more efficient and effective.”

In the past three years, the O’Malley-Brown Administration has implemented $4.6 billion in budget cuts and spending reductions, including the elimination of more than 3,300 state positions.

Governor O’Malley once again held public education harmless in this round of budget cuts, noting Maryland’s nationally ranked number one public schools and the need to invest in our schools even in difficult times.  General Fund support for K-12 education in FY2010 will exceed FY07 spending by almost $700 million. 

Of the FY2010 budget actions, six of every ten dollars have come from reforming state agencies.  Among today reductions were efforts to continue reforming our State government to make it more efficient and effective, including the suspension of non-essential vehicle purchases and reducing out-of-state travel for state employees.  In addition, the State Highway Administration will reduce operating hours for five of 12 SHA-operated rest areas.  An additional rest area will close during the winter months, and the rest area at US 219 at Keyser’s Ridge will close permanently.

Additionally, Governor O’Malley introduced $11 million in savings from efforts to ensure that only people who are eligible for Medicaid receive Medicaid services, and by scaling back unnecessary services; $500,000 in savings from negotiating lower prices with venders; and $3 million in savings from streamlining operations and consolidating functions across our government.

Can I add something here, Governor O’Malley? Unlike the federal budget which is created by Congress, YOU MAKE THE STATE BUDGET! So these cuts are in the budget because you overestimated the revenue you would get and/or didn’t have the will to look people in the eye and tell them “no”.

Just like Wicomico County’s budget, you left education as the sacred cow and contrived a number of ways to rob several existing funds (many of which seem to be slush funds for some pet purpose or another) or look to Uncle Sam (maybe I should say Uncle Barack) in order to bail you out. You place a lot of faith in Fedzilla to plug in the holes your cuts are creating.

Yet you have the audacity to smugly claim that your General Fund spending is now $500 million less than three years ago – and that you’ve made $4.6 billion in cuts over that timespan – but education spending is up $700 million. Well, perhaps if you’d get the budget right the first time we wouldn’t have these problems. It’s bad enough you jacked everyone’s taxes up yet still can’t figure this out on your third try.

Adding a voice of sanity is GOP challenger Larry Hogan:

Today, Martin O’Malley and the Board of Public Works cut $300 million more out of the State Budget. The cuts reduce millions in spending already committed for college financial aid, Medicaid funding, and state mental health programs. The cuts also may violate state law regarding the amount of appropriated funding that can be taken back by the state.

“Martin O’Malley continues his assault on the citizens of Maryland while exposing to all that he is unable to put Maryland’s fiscal house in order. Twice now, he has made significant cuts to the state’s Medicaid program after significantly increasing it less than a year ago. And once again he has chosen to put the burden of his overspending on state employees. This leadership does not work for Maryland citizens,” Hogan said.

Hogan continued, “Here’s what the citizens of Maryland have learned from Martin O’Malley over the last three years: he cannot be trusted to lead our state back to prosperity; his overspending and ‘tax everything’ policies have severely damaged our state’s economy and revenues; and he has no problem attacking the state’s most vulnerable.”

According to Maryland’s Department of Legislative Services, the fiscal year 2010 budget is currently $32.3 billion; the final budget of the Ehrlich administration was $29 billion – an increase of nearly $3.3 billion in new spending.

“Martin O’Malley has spent Maryland into a one billion dollar hole,” said Hogan. “And his fiscal policies have led to the highest unemployment rate in a generation by attacking the job creators of the state with more and more taxes. It’s time to change Maryland for the better by putting Martin O’Malley in the unemployment line in 2010. Only then can we put Maryland back on the right fiscal track.”

If O’Malley gets a second term and the economy somehow picks up, it’s a safe bet to assume that he’ll raise taxes in order to “make up” for all the spending cuts he’s had to provide. Or, all those items this budget transfers to the federal ledger will stay there until fiscal responsibility returns to Washington and transfer payments to states are reduced. Naturally, O’Malley would then blame Republicans for that occurrence because the prospects for fiscal sanity inside the Beltway over the next couple years are dim at best.

However, if Larry Hogan gets in that would provide the opportunity (although he would have to do so with lightning speed, starting the day after the election) to reevaluate every line-item in the state budget. It may take the first year to pare the budget down to a more appropriate level – if you assume a reasonable 3% per year growth from the FY07 figure provided, the FY12 budget would work out to $31.58 billion – but once that’s done, budget number two can work from a standpoint of reducing the tax burden on Maryland residents and employers. Of course, the dirty little secret Democrats won’t admit is that cutting taxes would increase revenue, so if you combine that with prudent spending habits Maryland can weather the next storm more easily.

It would be a vast improvement from the O’Malley crisis management method being employed now.

Slicing up the Shore

Yesterday I posted on the gerrymandering “silver spring” of the Swing State Project proposed to wipe away the GOP from Maryland’s Congressional delegation. He (or she) also did the same for Maryland’s General Assembly.

At the moment the composition of the House of Delegates is 104 Democrats, 36 Republicans, and 1 independent who often votes with Republicans. In the Maryland Senate the ratio is 33 Democrats to 14 Republicans.

So imagine a new redistricting plan which makes the numbers even more onerous for the GOP:

Under the plan drawn in this diary, all Democratic seats are preserved and/or strengthened.  Different things can happen in elections, but, in the most likely scenario, the new lines will add 3 or 4 Democratic Senators (Districts 9, 31, 37, and perhaps District 3 – if Alex Mooney survives the 2010 election) and between 11 and 14 Democratic Delegates … Yes, at that point the Democratic presence in the Maryland Legislature would approach that found today in the Massachusetts Legislature ! … well, maybe not quite that high, but in reality within 10 points of Massachusetts.

(Emphasis in original.)

In theory the GOP could well be buried for another ten years. It’s bad enough being 36-104-1 and 14-33 but 23-118 and 10-37 is pretty much intolerable.

While the poster claims that this plan is more friendly to county and community lines, I beg to differ – at least as far as the Eastern Shore is concerned.

At the moment, the nine counties of the Eastern Shore essentially share three Senate districts (36, 37, and 38) and five House of Delegates districts (36, 37A, 37B, 38A, and 38B.) Part of Cecil County lies in District 34, and one caveat of District 36 is that no county can have more than one Delegate so they are spread among Cecil, Kent, and Queen Anne’s counties. But on much of the Shore, dividing lines are fairly true to county lines – let’s look at how each county is split now:

  • Cecil – divided into two Senate districts (34, 36) and three House districts (34A, 34B, 36) with – in theory – six delegates.
  • Kent – lies completely in District 36.
  • Queen Anne’s – lies completely in District 36.
  • Caroline – split among two Senate districts (36, 37) and two House districts (36, 37B). In theory they have five delegates.
  • Talbot – lies completely in Senate District 37 and House District 37B, which has two delegates.
  • Dorchester – lies completely in Senate District 37 but has both House of Delegates districts 37A and 37B within, for three delegates.
  • Wicomico – divided into two Senate districts (37, 38) and all four House districts associated with those two Senate districts, for six delegates.
  • Somerset – lies completely in District 38 and shares House District 38A (one delegate) with Wicomico County.
  • Worcester – lies completely in District 38 and shares House District 38B (two delegates) with Wicomico County.

As it currently stands, just three of the nine Eastern Shore counties are split into multiple Senate districts and four counties have multiple House districts. That all changes under the plan “silver spring” presents.

Upper shore gerrymandering...

 ...and Lower shore gerrymandering. Let's pull out the jigsaw.

As you can see, the only Eastern Shore counties which aren’t split into two Senate districts by the proposal are Caroline and Worcester, and all counties are jigsawed into multiple House of Delegates districts.

But what’s most sinister is wrapping these districts around into urban areas just to pick up a particular number of Democrats and placing all into play. As “silver spring” notes in summarizing the Eastern Shore plan:

District 36 – Eastern Shore

New district: 86% white; 40% Obama (current district 41% Obama)

The current district expands south and is sub-divided into three sub-districts — each corresponding closely to a county or set of counties:

36A – Cecil and Kent Counties (also includes one precinct in Queen Anne’s directly across from Chestertown in order to maintain equal population); 46% Obama; this sub-district could perhaps elect a Democrat, breaking the GOP stranglehold on District 36.

36B – most of Queen Anne’s County; 36% Obama

36C – Talbot and Dorchester Counties; 39% Obama

District 37 – Eastern Shore

New District: 61% white; 32% black; 52% Obama (current district 46% Obama)

Currently, three out of four representatives here are Republicans.  The re-map expands the current district northward and the sub-districts remain.  However, sub-district 37A will now have two Delegates, instead of one, and 37B will have one instead of two.  The lines forming the border between the new 36th and 37th don’t line up perfectly with county boundaries.  However, the goal here was to create a minority-influence district on the Shore.  Even though only about a third of the population of the new 37th is black, that population might have an effective voice in how the district is represented in Annapolis, through an alignment with white Democrats in the area — the borders intentionally include more “liberal” (relatively) white-majority areas like Chestertown and Easton.

Here’s a break-down of the sub-districts:

37A – two Delegates; lower Eastern Shore: Salisbury, Princess Anne, Cambridge, Easton; 51% white; 41% black; 58% Obama; although on paper this district is majority white (barely), blacks constitute a majority of the Democratic primary vote here.  Thus, there’s a good chance the district can elect two African-American Delegates (increasing their representation on the Shore by one).

37B – one Delegate; most of Caroline County, part of Queen Anne’s and Chestertown (Kent Co.); 79% white; 13% black; 41% Obama; likely to elect a GOP Delegate.

Bottom line for District 37: Probable addition of Democratic Senator and one Democratic Delegate (there’s a good chance the Delegate will be African-American).

District 38 – lower Eastern Shore

New District: 81% white; 13% black; 40% Obama (current district 41% Obama)

The new 38th is quite similar to the current district.  The district here currently elects a GOP Senator and GOP Delegate in sub-district 38A, while 38B elects two Democrats, even though that area is even more Republican than 38A.  The two Democrats include one legislator from Salisbury and a former mayor of Ocean City, so personal popularity likely plays a part, especially in the case of the latter.

38A – includes parts of Somerset and Wicomico Counties (as does the current sub-district) but also expands east into Worcester Co.

38B – includes much of Worcester Co. and part of Wicomico around Salisbury.

I haven’t figured out just what impact this would have on existing Delegates and Senators but chances are pretty good this would place Republican delegates currently in separate districts against each other, particularly as the 36th District evolves southward.

It’s obvious to me that Democrat activists really don’t care a whole lot about maintaining the continuity of communities or using logical geography to create districts. This isn’t to say the GOP is completely blameless, but in their position here in Maryland they would be hard-pressed to draw themselves to majority status.

Another tactic to look for from the Democrats who draw the lines is working within the population guidelines to make districts which lean Republican larger in population while maximizing the number of safely Democratic districts through arranging them to be smaller than the norm. Eventually in a state of 6 million people divided by 141 they could pick up a seat or two just by putting their thumb on the scale here and there.

If I were to draw the lines, I would attempt to value common geography over party. For example, for a county that falls right on the number for having a district I would try to set them up in their own district, regardless of what the voter registration numbers are. Nor do I believe in “majority-minority” districts since I thought we were supposed to have a colorblind society and truly it’s none of the census taker’s damn business what color I am. All the census is supposed to be for is to determine the number of people in the household for determining fair representation.

Looking at this map with splotches representing pop art on a bad day, this is no way to determine representation fairly. If it takes the judicial system to make things more fair, I suppose it’s the resort we will have to take.

Now we know the depths the liberal opposition will sink to to achieve their ends. There’s little wrong with the way the Eastern Shore is set up now (save the spider-like District 37A) so we should fight to keep things pretty much the way they are. If it happens to be a Republican area, well, that reflects the conservatism shared by the majority.

Forewarned is forearmed.

The 10-0 project

While I briefly covered what former governor Bob Ehrlich said on Saturday during his introduction of Rep. Roscoe Bartlett, Ehrlich mentioned what he termed the “10-0 project”. It’s an effort to place Democrats completely in charge of the Maryland Congressional delegation by owning all eight Congressional seats along with the two Senators.

I’ll be the first to admit I wasn’t in Maryland to witness the fight over redistricting after the 2000 census, but legend has it that Democrats redistricted the state in such a manner to pack every Republican they could into two Congressional districts, the First and Sixth. The First District thusly picked up Republican areas on the eastern side of the state (Eastern Shore plus GOP-leaning areas of Anne Arundel County and east of Baltimore) and the western side of the state (the four westernmost counties and other areas along the Pennsylvania border) went to the Sixth District. Democrats divided up the spoils of the other six districts and changed Maryland over from a more or less split state to a 6-2 domination. Add Frank Kratovil, who ran as a centrist or even somewhat right-of-center on particular issues, and the Democrat bulge grew to 7-1 last year.

Perhaps that was a compromise position by the Democrats in charge at the time, but many on that party’s fringe want more. Obviously having one Republican representing part of Maryland (and perhaps another in 2010) is too much for some radicals to stand, and far-left activists are already figuring out ways to cut the GOP out of the mix entirely after next year.

Thanks to Joe Collins of the local AFP chapter I became aware of a website called the Swing State Project, where an active contributor who goes by the handle “silver spring” (perhaps his/her hometown?) has been busily concocting ways to gerrymander the state into a 10-0 Congressional delegation. Whether or not these would actually conform to 2010 census numbers or pass court muster is obviously questionable, but don’t be surprised if this isn’t the template Democrats would use if kept in power after next year’s election for redistricting in 2012. As “silver spring” puts it, this arrangement makes it “eight Democrats guaranteed.”

This map shows the central portion of Maryland, with the two districts in blue extending down the Eastern Shore and west to the border with West Virginia.

This map of central Maryland shows a swirl of Congressional districts designed to place Democrats in a position to surround and overwhelm pockets of Maryland Republicans.

In case you’re wondering, the dark blue district you see is our First District. This new map removes Anne Arundel County from the current district and carves out much of the areas of Baltimore and Harford counties currently served by Kratovil. Instead, the district as envisioned would corkscrew around along the northern border of the state to catch a large part of the city of Baltimore.

Roscoe Bartlett’s Sixth District (in gray) would lose all of its western counties and dilute GOP strongholds in Carroll County with a heaping helping of liberal Montgomery County voters. Western Maryland voters who had lived in the Sixth District would instead be in the revamped Eighth District, where those small counties would be overwhelmed by the liberal Democrats living in the western suburbs of Washington. Somehow I doubt those voters in Garrett County would be too pleased with having uber-liberal Chris Van Hollen as their Congressman but that would come to pass.

In short, this map would create a situation where all eight in Maryland’s Congressional delegation could live in either the city of Baltimore, Prince George’s County, or Montgomery County – all reliably Democrat strongholds. If people on the Eastern Shore complained about Andy Harris living on the Western Shore and representing them, just wait until you’re outvoted by Baltimore City and have someone like Donna Edwards as your Congressman. Would you feel well-represented? Frank Kratovil might call himself a centrist, but the prospect of a primary challenge on his left in a district like this might keep him deep in the pocket of Democrat leadership on their pet issues.

“silver spring” also figured out the voting patterns of all eight districts, working them out to hold McCain voters to less than 40% of any given district. As he/she excitedly notes:

Thanks to Dave’s Redistricting application, the process was much easier this time for me, and I got a plan that virtually guarantees that 8 Democrats will be elected starting in 2012.  In each district, Obama received at least 58% of the vote (and McCain received under 40%; MD-1 is rounded off to 40.0, but it’s technically 39.98%).  The plan keeps the two majority African-American districts, and is also very incumbent-friendly (except for Bartlett of course).

This is gerrymandering at its finest. And, as you’ll see tomorrow, our friend “silver spring” didn’t just stop there. If you thought the state was sliced and diced for Congressional districts, you’ll love seeing how the Eastern Shore undergoes a GOP death of a thousand cuts.

Hogan: help small businesses, Governor O’Malley

I’ve held this in my back pocket for a few days but since the second-to-last post featured GOP candidate for Governor Larry Hogan and the subject isn’t exactly stale, I’ll run it now. Hey, it even ties in with what I said at the county’s budget meeting last week. So I excerpt from the Hogan release:

Larry Hogan, a small business owner for more than 20 years, challenged Martin O’Malley to “stop talking and take action to help Maryland small businesses.”

“After three years of beating up on small businesses in Maryland, raising their taxes, and making it even harder to do business here, Martin O’Malley wants to start a commission to determine how to help them out?” questioned Hogan. “For starters, you don’t raise taxes and put added burdens on small businesses and mom and pop stores, forcing them to lay off workers and close up shop.”

“For someone who fancies himself as a musician, he’s utterly tone deaf when it comes to the issues facing small businesses and hard working Marylanders. The sad truth is that Martin O’Malley is the worst anti-business, anti-jobs Governor Maryland has ever had,” Hogan charged. ”Small businesses all over the state have either left for friendlier pastures or are shutting down all together.”

Maryland small businesses employ over 50% of the Maryland work force. Recent state economic numbers reveal that over 215,000 Marylanders are unemployed, the highest in 26 years.

“O’Malley has had over three years to respond to the needs and concerns of Maryland’s largest employer – small businesses. He has failed to do anything to stem the tide of job loss and business migration. His record of lost jobs, higher spending, record tax increases and broken promises is unacceptable. Maryland families and small businesses deserve better”, Hogan concluded.

What liberals like O’Malley fail to understand time and again is that placing burdens on business is counterproductive to economic prosperity. There are 50 little laboratories out there and all but a handful are proving to be more business-friendly to entrepreneurs and investors, leaving Maryland in a precarious position.

O’Malley may be the most fortunate governor in the country because it’s through an accident of geography that Maryland isn’t a complete economic basket case. The problem is most of the state is in the doldrums, but O’Malley can cater to his base along the I-95 corridor and thanks to his friend Barack Obama growing the government there are some portions of Maryland immediately around the nation’s capital succeeding.

But if you go to Princess Anne, Hagerstown, or Cambridge you’ll find people who beg to differ about the successes claimed by O’Malley because their counties were among the worst areas for unemployment in the state. Far off the beaten path and home to few voters, Democrats in Annapolis don’t mind leaving them crumbs (if that) because that’s where all the Republicans live anyway.

Looking at the primary industry on the Eastern Shore, Governor O’Malley’s bending over backwards toward environmental interests at the expense of local agriculture is eventually going to drive the poultry industry out of Maryland. We don’t need a commission to tell us this!

Let me make a suggestion for Larry Hogan: come down to Wicomico County, stand in front of a dilapidated chicken house with an owner waiting on the state of Maryland to approve a new facility, and invite the press to see you justifiably blast away at the O’Malley policies which are killing the Eastern Shore.

It seems like the only investment being made down here is in Salisbury University, which is building at a remarkable clip. While it’s good that the area has a campus of higher learning the state can be justifiably proud of, the graduates won’t be enticed to stay here because there’s few jobs to be had and little prospect of getting any with O’Malley in charge.

There’s a target-rich environment if Hogan chooses to fire away at O’Malley’s policies. But we also need to know what the alternatives would be, and hopefully they will fall under the category of common-sense conservatism.

Save yourself the commission, Martin, and listen to the producers for once. Maybe then you’ll not have to continually cut the budget or suck up to the feds for another stopgap measure. It’s worth a try.

Open season on Bush appointees

In a policy reversal reminiscent of a tinhorn regime, the United States Office of Personnel Management (OPM) distributed a memorandum last week subjecting certain political appointees to retroactive rules regarding OPM approval before taking a civil service job. While the policy has always been in place during election years and for higher level Senior Executive Service positions, the new regulations taking effect January 1 will subject all aspirants who have worked in a politically-appointed position over the previous five years to review, adding the element of retroactivity to established policy.

The obvious idea behind this memo is to preclude Bush-era employees from garnering civil service protections which would allow them to continue serving the public despite their political affiliation with the party currently out of power.

Needless to say, this likely purge of former low-level Bush appointees attracted little attention in the press and didn’t come to light until Glenn Reynolds of Instapundit broke the story and Erick Erickson at Red State amplified it.

Yet the implications are patently obvious. Making the regulations retroactive will give those who would be simply graded on their job performance and not their political views pause before seeking a position in the federal government and discourage otherwise qualified applicants who don’t share President Obama’s radical socialist views on the purpose of government.

OPM Director John Berry attempts to add a fig leaf to the process by “delegat(ing) decisionmaking authority over these matter to career Senior Executives at OPM to avoid any hint of political influence.” Yet Senior Executives already fall under those very same guidelines so they know which way the political winds are blowing.

The Berry memo also notes that, “while political appointees may not be excluded from consideration for Federal jobs because of their political affiliation, they must not be given preference or special advantages.” What’s left unstated though is that affiliation should not be held against them, either.

On October 16, Berry, who is described on the OPM website as “the Federal Government’s Chief People Person”, put out a memo complaining “our current SES population does not yet reflect the diversity of our Nation or even of the rest of our Federal workforce.” Of course, the concept of diversity only reflects certain physical or behavioral traits in the eyes of liberals while other traits won’t count. Diversity of thought isn’t on their radar screen.

The true litmus test for the new policy and emphasis on a diverse workforce will be in how Bush-era appointees are treated as they seek the protection civil servants are afforded by law. But given the hostility and blame President Obama has heaped upon the previous administration, the sign may as well be put up that “No Republicans Need Apply.” Only those who measure out as true blue will likely pass the test soon to be required for civil service protection.

It’s also pretty safe to assume that the five-year rule will be quietly rescinded just before Obama leaves office and howls of protest arise should a Republican try to reinstall the rule.

So much for diversity. With these guys, it’s all about power.

2009 MDGOP Fall Convention in pictures and text

Over the weekend Republicans in Maryland got together to conduct a little bit of business, enjoy each other’s company in a social setting, and elect a new Chairman. This is a first-person account of the proceedings.

At Friday evening's Executive Committee meeting, outgoing party chair Dr. Jim Pelura looked relaxed.

Meeting for the first time in recent memory in “gorgeous” Prince George’s County, the mood was fairly upbeat but there was an undertone of controversy over internal party matters and tension between small and large counties. An encouraging sign, though, was seeing all 23 counties and Baltimore City present and accounted for at the Executive Committee meeting.

One break from tradition announced by Pelura in his Chairman’s Report was the consideration of rules for the Saturday convention. Rules 1 through 7 were assumed to be non-controversial and would be adopted separately from Rule 8, which set up a “compromise” voting system. That was expected to set off the most distress.

National Committeeman Louis Pope addressed the 24 county chairs and other assorted party officers by announcing money and finance would be “part of the mission” for 2010. It would require outreach to expand the donor base because fewer than 1% of Republicans ever participate in fundraising activities like Lincoln Day dinners or golf tournaments. Yet Pope predicted 2010 will be an “incredible” year for Republicans.

Joyce Lyons Terhes, National Committeewoman, chose to save the bulk of her remarks for Saturday but exhorted us to begin the 2012 campaign in 2010.

Both the College Republicans and Young Republicans counted as one of their achievements helping out the campaigns in Virginia and New Jersey. Several good speakers had addressed the various local campus branches of the College Republicans while the Young Republicans had the pressing conflict of whether to get involved more in the local or national campaigns upcoming. In either case YR’s were ready and willing to help, according to their spokesman Moshe Starkman.

Patt Parker made her final report for the Maryland Federation of Republican Women and spoke about successful training sessions and reaching out to candidates for assistance through unique means.

Each of the 23 counties and Baltimore City then gave a short report. One thread running through a number of county reports was the relatively new influence of local Americans for Prosperity chapters and how we could work with them to advance common principles.

After county reports, the Executive Committee went into executive session to approve the 2010 budget. Those who didn’t stay drifted off to one (or more) of the numerous hospitality suites or ballrooms, where food and drink were lavished on attendees.

Larry Hogan, candidate for Governor, had one of the main ballrooms adjacent to the Executive Committee meeting secured for his party.

Billed as the “Hogan/Pappas Unity suite”, a current and former GOP candidate for governor hosted the largest event.

Larry Hogan (right), the leading Republican candidate for governor not named Ehrlich, listens to a would-be supporter in his hospitality room.

By the way, don’t count Mike Pappas completely out of this or future elections – I spoke to him on Saturday and he’s holding on to the money he had left over in his campaign coffers for now.

Most attendees also had one or more of the green Hogan stickers off his table.

A nice assortment of advertisement and information on Larry Hogan laid on this table. Having an attractive campaign volunteer there doesn't hurt either.

Two other 2010 candidates had their own hospitality suites. Andy Harris had the better food (man was the cheesecake good!), but Charles Lollar had the nicest sign so that gets the picture here.

Fifth Congressional District hopeful Charles Lollar is a rising star in Maryland GOP circles and might give Steny Hoyer a little heartburn. All I know is that I'd love to see the debate between them.

Another tag team suite came from Maryland Senate Republicans.

The GOP Senate slate all chipped in to rent a hospitality suite for the evening.

It’s a nice sign, but already out of date with the resignation of Sen. Janet Greenip. Hopefully this time next year they’ll need a bigger sign to place several additional names. 20 would be a nice round number and I think it’s an attainable goal.

Chair candidate Audrey Scott also had a suite. But more interesting was the idea that not everyone was happy with the limited selections for Chairman, as one person took out his or her frustration on the sign in the elevator.

Yeah, not everyone was thrilled Chris Cavey bailed on the race. But he'll still be number 2 as First Vice-Chair.

Two of the leading candidates challenging Sen. Barb Mikulski were also campaigning at the event. Here’s Jim Rutledge speaking to a supporter.

Senate candidate Jim Rutledge (left) speaks to a supporter as he mingled among the hospitality suite patrons.

Fellow Senate hopeful Dr. Eric Wargotz was also working the rooms, but shrewdly had a table filled with his campaign items. Plenty of people sported the red, white, and blue Wargotz logo.

People were free to learn about the Queen Anne's County Commissioner and Senate candidate on their own time if they didn't run into Eric.

And proving that capitalism isn’t dead, even in this age of Obama, there were several vendors hawking their wares.

There's always a button salesman at these events. But most of this vendor's stock focused on one man.

My favorite button of the group.

The guys at Crazy J Tees also had a pretty thriving business selling pro-America, anti-Obama merchandise.

A popular sentiment. But it's only effective if he makes it so.

The Maryland Young Republicans tried their hand at making money, too, conducting a silent auction outside their hospitality suite.

Items from the worlds of sports and politics were up for sale by the Maryland YR's.

If you’re a political junkie, the Friday night of the convention is actually an opportunity to meet and greet a number of candidates and incumbents in a relaxed, non-formal setting plus enjoy good food and drink. It’s our little respite before we go to work Saturday morning.

But many socialize just a little longer early Saturday by attending the breakfast hosted by the Maryland GOP. The featured speaker was newly-elected Brentwood mayor Xzavier Montgomery-Wright.

Mayor of Brentwood, Xzavier Montgomery-Wright spoke about campaigning and the challenges of being a small-town mayor.

Telling us that “unity is important” and “must be our immediate goal”, Montgomery-Wright stressed new leadership, modernization, and communication during her campaign, which became much easier when her two main challengers early on dropped out, leaving her unopposed. Yet Xzavier continued going door-to-door even after her opponents withdrew because she valued the opportunity to meet with her constituents face-to-face.

Her key achievements thus far were re-establishing the town’s police force, which was disbanded in 1972, and creating a Facebook page for the town, which she’s updated frequently as a way to extol the town’s benefits at little cost. Montgomery-Wright noted that “social networking is the next generation” of communication.

Turning to her Republican roots, Xzavier began her adult life as a Democrat but switched parties once she became established in business, claiming “I refuse to be a product of the government.” She stated that Republicans could elect qualified candidates in 2010 but opined that people were voting candidates and issues moreso than party. (She won a non-partisan election.)

Breakfast over, we turned to the business at hand.

The convention hall awaits the 200-plus local party officials who attended.

Unlike the previous convention, where 3 counties either didn’t attend or boycotted because of a perceived lack of respect from larger counties who controlled the voting process, we had nearly a full slate in the hall – close to 90 percent either attended or had a proxy. It was the best attendance in recent conventions.

We did things a little differently, hearing from our featured speaker near the beginning of the program. One reason was to accommodate the man who introduced him.

Former governor Bob Ehrlich came to the podium greeted with a raucous standing ovation.

Bob Ehrlich proclaimed the “successes” of Virginia, New Jersey, and the town hall meetings over the summer and pointed out we needed to grow the GOP and appeal to independents. On the other hand, Democrats had what they called the “ten-zero” plan ready to put in place should they maintain power next year.

But he was most complimentary to the man he was introducing, Rep. Roscoe Bartlett, and lauded Bartlett for mentoring him during his time in Congress.

Sixth District Congressman Roscoe Bartlett listens as former Governor Ehrlich introduces him during the Maryland State Fall Republican Convention.

Bartlett’s theme came in the form of a question – why are we so darn fortunate in this country? However he had “enormous concern” for its future, particularly when Congress regularly violates the 9th and 10th Amendments. “Much of what we do in Congress is a violation of the Constitution,” asserted Bartlett. Roscoe also pointed out he doesn’t hunt or shoot a gun but still is a “fervent” supporter of the 2nd Amendment.

Reflecting on his nine terms in Congress, Bartlett remarked that he was proud of running almost completely clean campaigns but “regrets” doing the one negative ad which was done in all those campaigns.

Once Bartlett completed his address, it was time to get down to business, starting with the rules. As expected, rules 1-7 passed in a voice vote. But Rule 8 aroused a little bit of controversy as expected, with passionate speakers on both sides. And don’t think I’m going to forget being cut off from having my voice heard in the debate by the speaker prior to me who called the question. Just try to run for anything, pal.

As I said when I returned to my seat, “that’s okay, I have a blog.”

Rule 8, the so-called “compromise”, passed by voice vote but upon the chair’s discretion was also done by a roll call vote. The results were 201 in favor, 19 against, and 6 abstaining (all 6 were from Baltimore City.) The only county which voted properly against Rule 8 was my county, Wicomico, by a 6-1 margin.

I look at the situation this way – if small counties want to cut their own throat and throw away the power they have, I suppose that’s their right but I’m going to fight it tooth and nail. It’s interesting that the large counties wouldn’t give us the time of day until WE figured out the rules actually worked in our favor. And all that was necessary was 1/3 of the vote plus 1 to preserve the role of small counties.

So the convention adopted a hybrid system which gave each county a base of votes plus a factor based on their votes for John McCain. One man, one vote is so much simpler – fortunately, these rules are for one convention only.

Then we had a voice vote on four resolutions which passed nearly unanimously. I would have certainly preferred to consider all four on their own merits because I saw two as “trap” resolutions and the other two as pretty much non-controversial (they increased the number of Central Committee members in Wicomico and Worcester counties from seven to nine.)

The “trap” resolutions were sponsored at least in part by Montgomery County, which seems to be our nemesis. One was an effort to straighten out the number of Central Committee members by next January 31st and the other was a resolution to conduct no business at our Spring Convention next year. I know exactly why that one was put in, and it’s not for the reason stated. So I said “no” to the whole block.

We also heard reports from our national Committeewoman and Committeeman.

Joyce Terhes expanded her remarks from the previous night, calling 2010 the opportunity to repeat a successful year in 1990. But “the new chair cannot do it alone”, and Terhes called on us to organize precincts, raise money, raise our voices, and prepare for early voting.

Louis Pope noted that Barack Obama had visited more countries in his first year than any other President, but being an “agent of change” did nothing to help the economy. Pope opined that “Americans said enough is enough” with the 2009 elections, and if we could fill the ballot with candidates who could win and give them enough support this could be a “phenomenal” year. O’Malley and Obama were “two of the best friends the Republican Party has.”

At long last, it was time to hear from candidates who wanted to be our new Chairman.

Audrey Scott told us independents and Republicans needed to work together, and the results in New Jersey and Virginia were “very, very good news for Maryland.” In 2010 “national politics will be on our side” as it was a “once in a lifetime opportunity.”

Daniel Vovak countered by allowing those who nominated him to tell the convention why they did so. (To be honest, he only expected to speak three minutes and not ten.) It was most noteworthy that he “came as myself”, eschewing the wig he’s most famous for wearing.

As expected, though, Audrey Scott won handily, carrying all but one county. Yep, that was us. 205 voted for Scott and 16 for Vovak (5 of 7 from Wicomico went Vovak). Five members did not vote. It worked out to 609-45 under the “improved” voting system.

I have nothing against Scott, I’m just not convinced that as the “establishment” candidate she’ll pay much attention to the rural counties. Then again, I didn’t vote for Jim Pelura either and he turned out to be one who did address our concerns.

Newly elected Maryland GOP Chair Audrey Scott addresses the Fall Convention.

In the spirit of cooperation, Mike Collins of Anne Arundel County began a parade of people willing to donate to the party. All told, the impromptu effort raised $4,000 for the party coffers, which included donations from two county committees.

Scott has her work cut out for her, but among the things she stressed was better communication through the new social media. That means she should take extra care to keep things progressing in a manner one blogger approves.

We’ll see how she’s faring when next we meet in the spring of 2010. How about a good old Eastern Shore convention for starters?