Comments on: Michigan, welcome to Maryland. And hi to Idaho too! http://monoblogue.us/2008/10/08/michigan-welcome-to-maryland-and-hi-to-idaho-too/ I've presented news and views from Maryland's Eastern Shore since 2005, but my writing can be found at several conservative websites. Fri, 25 May 2012 03:19:14 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.2 By: Final Frontier http://monoblogue.us/2008/10/08/michigan-welcome-to-maryland-and-hi-to-idaho-too/comment-page-1/#comment-95434 Final Frontier Wed, 08 Oct 2008 22:21:02 +0000 http://monoblogue.us/?p=2139#comment-95434 I guarantee McCain will not win the popular vote. He may pull off the Electoral College vote, but I predict at least a 500,000 vote advantage for Obama, probably closer to one million. You read it here first. I guarantee McCain will not win the popular vote. He may pull off the Electoral College vote, but I predict at least a 500,000 vote advantage for Obama, probably closer to one million. You read it here first.

]]> By: Marc http://monoblogue.us/2008/10/08/michigan-welcome-to-maryland-and-hi-to-idaho-too/comment-page-1/#comment-95432 Marc Wed, 08 Oct 2008 21:20:30 +0000 http://monoblogue.us/?p=2139#comment-95432 Since I'm originally from Bill Sali's district, I can give a little perspective on this race. It's interesting that you mention it and its similarities to our race. I was saying exactly the same thing to my grandfather last night when we talked. Sali's district is a reliably conservative district. Sali is facing a Democrat who is running as a moderate or even a conservative (my grandfather says that Sali's opponent is running a ton of TV ads in the North Idaho market that play him up as a conservative and note that he was a former Republican). Sali is a staunch conservative whose personality turns some people off. Sali's opponent is very well funded by national Democrats. Put all these together and you face a race like we face with Andy -- a seat that should be safe Republican hangs in the balance. There are a couple differences. No one doubts that Andy's a pretty smart guy. Sali has the reputation for not being the sharpest legislator, either in Congress or during his time in the state legislator. Sali also isn't the favorite of Idaho's GOP establishment, something that doesn't seem to be the case with Andy. In the end I think both Sali and Andy will win. I just think both races will be much, much closer than they should be. Since I’m originally from Bill Sali’s district, I can give a little perspective on this race. It’s interesting that you mention it and its similarities to our race. I was saying exactly the same thing to my grandfather last night when we talked. Sali’s district is a reliably conservative district. Sali is facing a Democrat who is running as a moderate or even a conservative (my grandfather says that Sali’s opponent is running a ton of TV ads in the North Idaho market that play him up as a conservative and note that he was a former Republican). Sali is a staunch conservative whose personality turns some people off. Sali’s opponent is very well funded by national Democrats. Put all these together and you face a race like we face with Andy — a seat that should be safe Republican hangs in the balance.

There are a couple differences. No one doubts that Andy’s a pretty smart guy. Sali has the reputation for not being the sharpest legislator, either in Congress or during his time in the state legislator. Sali also isn’t the favorite of Idaho’s GOP establishment, something that doesn’t seem to be the case with Andy.

In the end I think both Sali and Andy will win. I just think both races will be much, much closer than they should be.

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