The Pipkin dossier

If what has been reported by my Red Maryland co-contributor Brian Griffiths is true, we’ll get the sixth GOP candidate to jump into the race for the First Congressional District. Fellow co-contributor Bud the Blogger has his thoughts on State Senator E.J. Pipkin’s chances as well.

Well, besides being the hoped-for candidate by the dean of Delmarva bloggers back in May and speculated as Gilchrest’s one chance for victory about that time (by yet another RM contributor, G.A. Harrison), State Senator E.J. Pipkin has kept his name in the news all summer, even here on monoblogue. He’s had seven mentions on my site since mid-2006. Probably voters in these parts have seen him most recently as the impetus behind a anti-tax website, StopMarylandTaxHikes.com, with the authority tag bearing the “Friends of E.J. Pipkin” moniker.

Nor is Pipkin a total stranger to a ballot larger than his native 36th District, running statewide in an unsuccessful effort to oust longtime U.S. Senator Barb Mikulski in 2004. In that race, he ran as the common-man alternative to a Senator who’d “lost touch with her constituents.” But he only received 34% of the vote and carried just 6 counties statewide, including just two of the four in his own 36th District (Cecil and Queen Anne’s.) As in 2008, Pipkin was able to run “from cover”, having been elected to his current State Senate post in 2002.

Pipkin has had other controversy as well. If you recall the special session in the summer of 2006 to deal with BG&E’s 72% rate hike, Pipkin voted against most of his fellow Republicans and supported the plan which deferred the rate increase through 120 months, plus interest. He doesn’t seem to be a big fan of BG&E/Constellation Energy.

If, and this is still an “if”, Pipkin runs for the seat, it effectively makes the race a three-way battle and likely helps incumbent Wayne Gilchrest. You’ll have one State Senator (Andy Harris) who hails from the Western Shore (which is about half of the district’s voters) facing off against one from the Eastern Shore (probably the more conservative half overall), while Gilchrest has the advantage of name recognition and appeals to the more moderate portion of the GOP. Of course, Pipkin would enter at some disadvantage monetarily since Gilchrest has amassed a sizable war chest over the years and Harris has been fundraising quite successfully since his announcement earlier this spring. However, Pipkin does have some personal assets he can use in the race, as he did in 2004, so the difference may not be all that vast once he gets his feet under him.

E.J. certainly has the fiscal chops to be effective in Congress as a taxcutter, but it’s not known yet where he stands on a number of issues that have already been debated back and forth in the press by the two main contenders; nor is it clear whether he can get his message out when I’m sure media buys are already being made by the two top candidates. While Harris, Gilchrest, Walter, et. al. have been running this race as a marathon, Pipkin’s late entry will force all of them to make a late sprint to the finish line. It remains to be seen who stumbles and who triumphs, but the smart money may shift to the incumbent.

Crossposted on Red Maryland.

Speaking of my cohorts at Red Maryland, they deserve congratulations for being Malkinized today. Good to see some national recognition.

Dirty tricks and lack of proof – an update

Thanks to a gentleman I know, I may have found out where the Gilchrest charge about Andy Harris voting for drivers’ licenses for illegal immigrants may have come from. This article from a website called wryoak.com points to a budget bill from the 2005 session, HB340. Part of those millions went to a group called CASA de Maryland, long known as an advocate for illegal immigrants. It was a small part – just $100,000 to renovate a building into a new facility in Montgomery County – but it was indeed in there. (CASA de Maryland is no stranger to monoblogue, they also made news back in May.)

Apparently the purveyor of wryoak.com is no friend of Andy Harris or Bob Ehrlich as he (or she) writes “from a bar in Annapolis”, even making the tenuous connection between Harris and the Log Cabin Republicans through Harris’s pollster Arthur Finkelstein.

Now I warned Harris about making blanket statements a few weeks back:

Also, a blanket statement raises an opportunity for a Democrat-sprung trap. If you recall, the minimum wage was increased because the Democrats attached it to an Iraqi funding bill, not as a stand-alone measure. I can see a tax increase slipped into some bill along the line just to trick Harris into voting for it – a “gotcha” moment.

In this case, the trap snapped on Harris during the primary season, but you can bet your bottom dollar that the campaigns of Frank Kratovil, et. al. have that one filed away should Harris survive the primary against Gilchrest. (And speaking of pollsters, I’d love to get my hands on the current polling results for this race!) 

So the mystery has been solved, and now my readers know a little more about the struggles that go on when the stakes are high politically.

Crossposted on Red Maryland.

Late edit: One thing that I meant to point out (also in Harris’s defense) is that Wayne Gilchrest can make the same charge about any member of the State Senate since this bill passed 47-0 on first reading and 46-0 on second reading. This request was likely slipped in along with 50 others and at the time CASA de Maryland wasn’t in the spotlight yet.

When will Atlas shrug in Maryland?

So the special session is now history. A h/t goes to O’Malley Watch, both for pointing out this article with the tax increase details and his hard work on covering the special session, along with a salute to my cohorts at Red Maryland for their coverage of the gory details.

As is generally the case with tax increases, the producers in society are hardest hit while the “unwashed masses” take their blows more subtly. Let’s look at the effects on each group.

If you are Mr. Producer, a proprietor of a small business in Maryland, and work hard to achieve some measure of success at it, you’re soon probably going to wonder just how tough it would be to move to Delaware or Virginia. First of all, the corporate tax rate is going to increase from 7 percent to 8.25 percent – in real terms that’s a 17.9% tax hike on your company’s income. Further, if you happen to be in the computer business you’ll now be liable for collecting sales tax for your services and that’s not something easily added to the bill – there’s also the additional cost of state-created paperwork for your accountant.

Also, let’s say you have a good income from the business, how about $200,000. If you’re single, you have a bump in your tax rate from 4.75 percent to 5 percent, or a 5.3% increase. If you’re married and Mrs. Producer is also a producer making $300,000 a year, suddenly your tax rate jumps up to 5.5 percent, which equates to a 15.8% rate increase. The state is now taking appreciably larger bites at both ends, the business side and the personal side.

Now I’ll cross the tracks to the poor side of town and look at the impact these things will have on Mr. Unwashed. I’ll say he makes $50,000 a year as an example.

He won’t have the income tax rate increase to deal with, and he does get an $800 additional credit against his income on tax day. If my math is correct, that means he has a break of $38 on his taxes ($800 times .0475). However, that break is quickly eaten up by the sales tax increase because if he spends just $3,800 on taxable items during the year (easy to do with just a couple big-ticket items, like say what you’d do with a tax refund) his “break” becomes a net gain to the state. This is even more pronounced if Mr. Unwashed is a smoker, since the cigarette tax is doubling to $2 a pack. At one time, Governor O’Malley was going to give a break to smokers if the federal tax also jumped, but that went by the wayside. So that $38 break is gone in just 5 1/2 weeks if Mr. Unwashed is a pack-a-day smoker.

Of course, if we’re talking about the Unwashed family the income tax break is a little better but they also lose out on the “sales tax holiday” that occurs just before the start of school. On the other hand, they could gain overall if they don’t mind getting on the state dole for health insurance since the state will spend more for adding new people to their coverage. It’s just the Democrats’ way of suckering more people into depending on government. (And doesn’t $6,000 per person – $600 million divided by 100,000 – seem really expensive for health insurance?)

The sad fact is that somewhere along the line, Mr. Producer is going to say “enough” and take his business and jobs elsewhere. And if Mr. Unwashed happens to be one of the employees of Mr. Producer’s company, he faces the hard choice of pulling up stakes and following his job to Virginia, Delaware, or some farther point; or trying his luck and attempting to latch onto one of the dwindling number of opportunities closer to his home. Either way, there’s going to be an interruption in his income or extra expense incurred, all because of these changes.

I’m no economist, but all this exercise needed was the application of common sense to the situation at hand. And it gives me an excuse to recommend one of my all-time favorite classic books, Ayn Rand’s Atlas Shrugged. (Conveniently, I just added an Amazon widget here on monoblogue so you can buy it from them and the capitalist in me will thank you.) While the book was written over 50 years ago, we’ve done little to heed its warnings and I think we’re going to hit that tipping point before the 100 year anniversary of the tome unless we start to act to reverse the trend.

Crossposted on Red Maryland. (And hopefully linked anywhere common sense reigns.)

Carnival of Maryland #20 is up…

…and Leviathan Montgomery is the host this time around. It gave me an opportunity to spread the Ten Questions around farther but there’s other good posts as always, including Oceanshaman taking my advice.

I also want to point out that the Election Calendar will take a break this week because of the Thanksgiving holiday, but if anything major comes up as far as appearances know that once I find out you find out. Also, don’t forget tomorrow is the deadline to switch parties and vote in the Republican primary February 12 (if you haven’t yet, you know you want to.)

Cavey on caving

Note: per the request of “Honestabby” I’ve linked to a Red Maryland post with the five Delegates who sold out, as part of Chris’s message below.

I got an e-mail regarding slots from Chris Cavey, our state party’s First Vice-Chair, and with his permission I’m letting the rest of the grassroots know what he thinks. I did take a few liberties with the e-mail since there were a couple misspellings and I simply linked to the portion about Stockholm syndrome rather than leave the long explanation he had in. But the point he makes is definitely worth repeating.

Hello to all,

What a roller coaster the past three weeks have been for those of us who follow the politics of Annapolis. Beginning with a Republican rally of unity and ending, for all practical purposes with Republicans who left the fold; causing the O’Malley Democrat machine to win by just one vote. Or was it five votes?

Who would have thought on Monday, October 29th that five of the House Republicans would have sold their soul to Speaker Busch and Governor O’Malley? That’s right not one but five!

It begs to ask a couple of questions – what is a vote worth? Is it worth just proving a point to others that you can and will go against your caucus whenever you wish to gain favor with the Speaker? Is it worth bringing home a few crumbs and hollow promises from the Democrat Governor and pointing that it was you who gained his favors? Is it worth favors from Democrat-led Departments such as MDE to help your district or to look the other way for a project you need?

I don’t know…everyone has placed different values on integrity. It seems loyalty it is subjective based on where each person sets his or her own values. The irony is – they, the unfaithful five, made the deals on the same day Tommy Bromwell was sentenced. Man…he must have been smiling at how [expletive deleted] dumb those Republicans are!

Today reminded me too that Republicans suffer from the Stockholm syndrome…They have been so battered so long and so abused politically for so long that they show signs of loyalty to those who are the abusers…and I’m sure they will do it again.

It’s a pity at least twice in these three weeks we have snatched defeat from the jaws of victory due only to the fact no one can remember the axiom: united we can stand, divided we will fall.

Certainly there will be a thousand arguments as to why votes were cast on certain matters.  There will be debate over the fact slots are not a constitutional matter and representative government means we elect people hopefully with integrity to cast votes on matters for us…like taxation.  Eighty-six persons want you to vote for slots or not; because they want to pass job responsibility, however, they didn’t ask you about all the taxes!

Yep…you called to oppose taxes at a rate of 40 to 1 and will soon be hit face front with what you didn’t want.  Yet the “tough” vote for them was to pass off slots responsibility on you.  I’d rather we have a referendum on their salaries.

In the future we’ll now have higher taxes due to these five votes.  We have an O’Malley victory – again proving that Republicans are truly the minority party with legislators who can be bought with the promise of Democrat favors.  We will be soon hearing slots debate on every TV station more intense then election ads.

Republicans don’t have just the Evil Empire of Democrats to thank for their newest spanking.  The citizens of Maryland will pay more and eventually gamble more due to five votes; (legislators) who turned today to the dark side.

Thought you should know,

Chris

So the General Assembly has punted. What comes to mind is that this will be the second high-interest issue on the 2008 ballot – remember, adopting the early voting rules that were thrown out for the 2006 election is coming back as a ballot initiative for the 2008 general election as well. And we didn’t have to go through all this had the GOP stood firmly behind its own slots plan (HB25 just went ahead with the process) – we would be getting ready for the additional revenue more quickly and made at least $800 million off the top by selling the licenses.

The main point Cavey makes is that we acted like a scared minority, and he’s right. This was an opportunity to have a true say in Maryland politics because the leadership was having a tough time getting all 100+ Democrats on board. On a local level, there is a troubling tendency for Page Elmore to sometimes go off the reservation on issues and in this case he was joined by four others. It’s something to keep in the back of our minds for 2010, and another reason that any effort at “incumbent protection” should be rebuffed at our upcoming Fall Convention.

Crossposted on Red Maryland.

How the other half lives – a Democrat forum report (part 2)

If you got in late and want to start from the beginning, go here. In that part I covered the opening statements and foreign affairs. Today I do the candidates’ thoughts on domestic issues.

By reintroduction, the three candidates who were at Thursday night’s forum are Steve Harper, Frank Kratovil, and Christopher Robinson. Of the three, only Kratovil currently holds elective office as the State’s Attorney in Queen Anne’s County. Robinson was also a candidate in 2006, finishing second in the primary to Dr. Jim Corwin, who chose not to make a run this time.

With a large number of questions asked, the field touched on a number of issues. Probably the most important one was immigration. Harper thought that there really wasn’t an immigration policy at the moment because the laws weren’t being enforced. Steve saw the issue as needing a “national discussion” of wants and desires. Kratovil also called for better enforcement of existing laws and sought to reward those entering legally, not unlawfully. But Frank placed a lot of blame on the business community too, as much of the problem was “about business undercutting wages.” Robinson also noted that employers had to “play by the rules” as he does being a small businessman himself.

Another hot-button issue to those in attendance was health care. Frank Kratovil noted that there was a philosophical difference between he and the Administration, particularly with Bush’s SCHIP veto. He felt that the government “(has the) responsibility that families have health care,” and we should pool our resources to insure everyone. Christopher Robinson also climbed aboard that train, claiming that if we do nothing, the number and cost of the uninsured will increase. Moreover, he noted that “companies…support government involvement,” and that a government approach could inspire preventative health care. Steve Harper felt that the Romney Massachusetts model was viable, “with more regulations”. According to Steve, “government is not the problem, but how we manage it.”

Was the republic in danger? One questioner had that on his mind and all three agreed that our system was still strong. Whether it was Christopher Robinson talking about the checks and balances instilled by the Founders or Frank Kratovil saying that the system was as good as the people in it, only Steve Harper wryly noted that the lone danger was getting Karl Rove back in the White House.

Of course, I think the republic is in danger if the size of government continues to grow. One questioner wanted to ask about reducing it, and he spoke to me afterward about me not being the only Republican in the house. But the question was asked and two of the candidates thought the best place to trim the budget was getting out of Iraq. Frank Kratovil wanted to use that cash for more health insurance though, while Christopher Robinson sought to place spending under “strict control” and billed himself as a “fiscal conservative.” Only Steve Harper distanced himself from the group slightly with his presumption that “government was not the problem” and proposing a BRAC-style committee to deal with wasteful programs. But Steve also thought we needed to raise taxes to balance the budget.

Indeed, taxes were an issue for a few questions. Some other conservative type snuck a question in, and it was a slightly reworded version of Question #8 of my “Ten Questions,” the one dealing with gasoline taxes vs. reallocating money away from bikeways and mass transit to infrastructure. (Someone has to make sure tough questions are asked.) Christopher Robinson drew the first answer, noting that gasoline taxes conserve energy and can help infrastructure, but he’d only increase the tax for that purpose. Otherwise, the spending should be reallocated for infrastructure – so he chose both options. Steve Harper saw this issue as becoming another “third rail” of American politics, but said he’d have “no problem” raising the gas tax and wouldn’t stop with just using the revenue for fixing bridges and such. For his part, Frank Kratovil said that gasoline and sales tax increases both hurt the middle class and that the price was becoming “overwhelming,” but also argued that people couldn’t expect the same government services without an increase in revenue coming their way. Okay, Frank, I’ll take fewer services.

We also heard a question dealing on the related subject of alternative energy, such as ethanol or wind power. Steve Harper did correctly say that the use of foodstuffs as fuel was leading to rioting in Mexico as the global corn prices increase, so we should get away from that particular source. Steve thought offshore windmills were a good idea, though.

On the other hand, Frank Kratovil talked about a need to “promote” alternative sources of energy to both citizens and business, but he slammed both the switch to ethanol (correctly pointing out that ethanol takes more energy to produce than it creates) and Americans in general because they “waste a lot” of energy. He called for conservation as another approach. Christopher Robinson also disdained ethanol, but thought that a major focus should be on increasing CAFE standards.

And it wouldn’t be a Democrat forum without the discussion of global warming. All three candidates thought it was “fact” and that the government had some role in fixing it; whether it needed the “same effort as going to the moon” (Kratovil), a “Manhattan Project” type of operation (Robinson), or getting into Kyoto and working to include China and India as well (Harper).

Is “No Child Left Behind” working? That was another domestic policy question handled by the trio. All three had similar answers, stating that the program was underfunded. Steve Harper really didn’t want teachers to “teach to a test” as it ignores those at the top and bottom, while Robinson and Kratovil (who did state that “education is the great equalizer”) both brought up the issue of class size as a factor. Personally, having gone through public school with a class size generally between 25 and 30, I think that the push for smaller class sizes is hogwash designed to get more teachers in the union. But I digress.

Interestingly enough, that question came up immediately after a question on crime, which some participants thought had its root in poor upbringing (including a lack of education.) Only Steve Harper brought up possibly the most obvious solution, more police on the street. (I was never sold on Clinton’s “100,000 cops” plan though.) He also asked “what about those behind bars?” in a push for more in the way of rehabilitation. Frank Kratovil and Christopher Robinson both wanted to shift more resources to combat issues they felt led to crime in the first place, with Kratovil adding that violent offenders do need to do their time while Robinson openly questioned whether some aspects of the Great Society led to this problem.

Maybe the money question of the whole proceedings came fairly near the end, when moderator Mike Farlow asked a question about what they can say to appeal to Republican voters.

Christopher Robinson asserted that people are “prepared to vote Democrat” because they were fed up with President Bush and that the GOP “drove the country into the ditch.” (No, yes on certain issues like immigration, and uh-uh.)

Steve Harper told those present that Democrats care about the environment and were the true fiscal conservatives. It was time for a “real Democrat,” he said, and not Wayne Gilchrest. (At 52% party loyalty, he’s not that far off regarding Gilchrest.)

Frank Kratovil thought that most of us, regardless of party, believe in the same things: family, good jobs, and combatting illegal immigration. It was a failure of Democrats to show that they do stand for these things and that the Democrats were what’s in America’s best interest. (So why is the approval rating of Congress lower than the President’s?)

At last it came down to the closing statements. According to Christopher Robinson, America’s greatness was based on individual dignity, and that we don’t have to look to government for everything. He again billed himself as a “fiscal conservative” who wanted to reduce our obligations to future generations and had the “guts to make tough decisions.”

Steve Harper called America an “amazing place,” but wistfully added, “sad things” had occurred the last six years. He felt Congress needs his global view as a former foreign service officer stationed overseas and that government needed a method to measure accomplishments. There were too many “yes” men in government and as one who had to decide whether applicants would get visas to come to our country, sometimes a “no” was in order. In short, he wanted to help bring America, “back to what it can be.”

The last word went to Frank Kratovil. The impression I got of his closing statement (at least what I wrote down) was an America of victims, with a responsibility to take care of its citizens. We needed strong leaders who are advocates, he said, and flat out promised, “I can win.” Part of this was because of those who endorsed him (including Governor O’Malley and the other statewide officeholders) and part of why he could win (and has won) in a Republican area was because he was “fair.”

As I alluded to yesterday, Jim Ireton of the Democrat Central Committee sat next to me much of the time. One thing he asked me was why there was such a rabid, foaming-at-the-mouth sort of passion about Andy Harris from the Republicans. I’m not sure I answered the question as I would have liked (since the debate was ongoing at the time) but here’s why I do, anyway.

In Wayne Gilchrest we have a Congressman who is nominally Republican but votes against what is perceived as their interests almost half the time. Obviously not everyone in the GOP has the exact same views on everything but chances are Wayne has gone against their core beliefs on a frequent basis over the last couple years – for me, it’s been his votes on the Long War and energy independence that have caused me the most grief.

However, let’s say one of these three Democrat challengers wins. In that case, a district that leans toward the conservative side of many issues now has a Congressman who does two things: one, he votes to maintain Nancy Pelosi for House leadership; and two, the 50/50 Republican/Democrat voting split we have with Gilchrest now tilts at least 70% to the Democrat side. Instead of the 80-90% agreement on core issues we may get with someone like Andy Harris or John Leo Walter, we get 30% or less. Democrats may think they can beat Andy Harris because they perceive him as extremely right-wing but when you factor in how the electorate in the area has played out over the last 20 years or so, it has become quite a solidly Republican bloc and there’s many out there who think it’s time for a Congressman who reflects more the values we do.

Democrats may see someone like Harris as too far to the right, but methinks the district will see any of these three as too far to the left on most issues once the primaries are complete and the issues become debated by all the voters. And I’m sure I’ll be there to fill them in!

Gilchrest back on the issue of illegals

The war of words on illegal immigration continues…

U.S. Rep. Wayne T. Gilchrest (R-Maryland-1st) has cosponsored a package of bills in Congress to prohibit states from issuing driver’s licenses to illegal immigrants.

“This is a matter of national security. We can’t forget that all but one of the terrorists who were involved in the attacks on America on September 11, 2001, used driver’s licenses to establish multiple false identities and breach security at airports that day. That’s why I voted for the REAL ID act in 2005 and continue to support measures that will address these concerns,” Gilchrest said.

Gilchrest has cosponsored H.R. 4176, the Prevention of Unsafe Licensing Act, which prohibits states from issuing any driver’s license or identification card to individuals not lawfully in the United States.

He has also supported H.R. 4160, which would withhold a portion of a state’s federal highway funding if that state issues driver’s licenses that are not complaint with the REAL ID Act, including giving licenses to illegal immigrants. This bill gives states until 2010 to comply with the REAL ID Act, or begin to lose highway funds. This is the same tactic used by Congress in 2000 to urge state governments to lower their limits on blood alcohol content to .08 percent.

He also has signed on to H. Res 800, which would express the sense of the House of Representatives that states should not be issuing driver’s licenses to illegal immigrants.

“The 9/11 Commission found that unsecure driver’s licenses issued by state governments constituted a serious national security threat. We should take this advice and pass these bills as another step to try and protect Americans from those who want to do us harm.”

Unfortunately, the THOMAS website has not yet put up a synopsis of either H.R. 4160 or H.R. 4176 as both bills are too recent. But I can see where his support of H.R. 4160 is bothersome as he cited one of my most despised examples of the federal government interfering in states’ rights, the .08% BAL example. That was pushed and pushed for years by my former Senator, Mike DeWine of Ohio and he finally got that blackmail passed. To “urge” a state is one thing, but to withhold funding is another.

It seems like Congressman Gilchrest does a lot of things that are timed to counter charges leveled by his opponents that he’s too soft on one issue or another – case in point, H. Res. 800 was introduced on November 6th but Gilchrest signed on November 15th. A true believer would have been in the original group signing on or close to it.

The upcoming holiday might provide a little break in the GOP infighting but rest assured this campaign will remain hotly contested for the less than three months we have until the primary on February 12.

Crossposted on Red Maryland.

How the other half lives – a Democrat forum report

Yesterday I read in the Daily Times that a forum was being held at SU for the Democrats who hope to unseat Wayne Gilchrest in the 2008 general election. I debated whether I should cover it – for about 1/2 second. Obviously I feel that people should make an informed decision at the polls and it’s most likely one of these three men will be facing the Republican who survives the February 12 primary.

So the three contenders present were Steve Harper, Frank Kratovil, and Christopher Robinson. They were joined by a close-to-capacity crowd in the small room, my best guess is about 40 people (by the looks of them, predominantly students) came out.

I liked the format, which worked well with three contenders. Each got a five minute opening statement, a series of questions with one minute answers, and three minutes for closing remarks. Moderator Mike Farlow kept the proceedings moving briskly which meant that there were a total of 17 (!) questions that were answered. Not only that, the questions were a pretty good mix of foreign and domestic issues. Of course, with so many questions I had several pages of notes on my small (about 4″ x 6″) pad, so I think I’m going to end up splitting this post into two parts, one today and one tomorrow. Today I’ll cover the opening statements and questions dealing with the Long War and international affairs. Then tomorrow I’ll do the other domestic issues and closing statements, along with a wrap-up.

To begin, each candidate had their five minutes to introduce themselves to those gathered.

Steve Harper took that time to expound on his “what am I thinking by getting into this race” moment by saying that this was “not the America I grew up with” and that we were heading down a “scary” path. As a foreign service officer for 15 years, he stressed his view of America from without, having served in countries around the globe. He also noted that the actions of the current Democrat-controlled Congress were “disconcerting” and was particularly displeased that they weren’t fulfilling their oversight duties – for one thing, he said, they “shall”, not “may”, impeach for high crimes and misdemeanors. He told us that he’d bring his energy, passion, and world view with him to Congress.

Calling this a “significant” election, Frank Kratovil talked about the balance he has to keep between his work and home life, along with running for Congress. But he felt that our country needed people to sacrifice to run for public office as he comes from a family devoted to public service. However, in being a State’s Attorney he felt he couldn’t make an impact on issues as he could in Congress. Kratovil did get into the Iraqi portion of the Long War during his opener, saying it was an “absolute, colossal mistake” and that we need to “get out of Iraq as soon as we can.” He used this interview (from 1994) as an argument that even Dick Cheney wasn’t on board all along with invading Iraq.

Right up front Christopher Robinson said that it was “time to bring the troops home” since they were now in an Iraqi “civil war.” Robinson also hammered on the 47 million that are supposedly uninsured, planning to achieve more energy independence in 10 years, and not leaving a “mountain of debt” for our children. Christopher also spoke about his prior experience in Washington on the staff of former Rep. Roy Dyson, where he helped draft legislation to clean up Chesapeake Bay and work on Ocean City beach erosion. In his terms, the country has a “need to change direction” and that “one person can make a difference.”

As one would expect from a gathering of Democrats, all three candidates were united that we need to get out of Iraq and that in the meantime we need to resort to diplomacy in order to stabilize the situation. Frank Kratovil added his concerns about the civilians left in our wake, while Christopher Robinson stated that “we need to stop thinking we can build nations.” Steve Harper chimed in that Sen. Joe Biden was correct on his assertion that a sort of “ethnic clensing” was going on as neighborhoods slowly became more segregated by religious beliefs.

Nor was the practice of “waterboarding” spared in the questioning as Harper began the round by complaining that the Democrats in Congress could not stop the Mukasey AG nomination despite his position on the practice. Kratovil thought the discussion was “outrageous” because the practice was “clearly torture.” Robinson decried that prior to now our country had always had “clean hands” and that President Bush has “tarnished” our reputation abroad.

Even when veterans return, the complaints from the contenders did not cease. Given a recent CBS News story about the suicide rate of veterans, the contenders turned it into a discussion on veterans’ health issues. Christopher Robinson came out and said that it was the “most important” veterans’ issue and that we owe these benefits to the troops. Meanwhile, Steve Harper talked about veterans being “kicked out” and not getting their due benefits and Frank Kratovil thought the question “ironic” since much of the blame for the headlines of late concerning veterans affairs (such as the Walter Reed fiasco) were due to a lack of oversight by Congress.

So, the question came later, why did no one have a “take charge” stance and say no to the War on Terror? Kratovil stated that terrorism is a “reality” and has been for some time, and that we were now less secure than prior to our invasion of Iraq. He equated terrorism such as 9/11 to criminal activity in general. (Of course, I sat there and thought that it’s pretty tough to try 19 hijackers since they’re all dead.) But Robinson thought resolve was the “most important” weapon in the Long War – however, he did admit that his views had changed substantially since the fighting began and the initial “benefit of the doubt” he gave President Bush turned into disappointment that he “let us down.” And Steve Harper simply noted that Iraq was never a threat to us, nor is Iran now. They’re all bluster, he noted, since we’re the biggest man on the block.

Speaking of Iran, one questioner asked if we could live with a nuclear Iran. They all thought we could or would at least have to. Frank Kratovil cautioned that we should keep a close eye on proliferation and that our foray into Iraq has served as a diversion for the Iranians. But Christopher Robinson couched the issue in a different direction, reintroducing a theme he’d began earlier in talking about domestic issues of no nuclear plants, since that sort of technology could be applied to weapons as well. Steve Harper thought that we could live with a nuclear power in Iran “and so could Israel” since they also had nukes and likely theirs were aimed at Tehran. The Iranian leaders were “not insane” although many like to think they are. However, if we could avoid a nuclear Iran, we should.

Israel was actually the subject of the prior question, and all three closely resembled each other with the view that we should maintain our friendship with Israel, but that the Israelis would not always be right in their decisions or act in our best interest. Harper probably had the most memorable statement when he noted that good friends tell their friends when they have bad ideas.

The final international affairs question dealt with the situation in Pakistan. Christopher Robinson thought that we had a “limited ability” to deal with their problems, but sanctions were one possible solution for keeping them in line while Steve Harper favored a more measured approach utilitizing multi-party diplomacy.

But the answer that most hammered on the current Administration came from Frank Kratovil. Saying that President Bush has had a number of diplomatic failures, he claimed that Iran had been reforming itself until Bush made his “axis of evil” speech. One theme Frank often came back to when talking about international affairs was the concept of “carrots and sticks.” I guess what I wonder is what are the carrots we have? I can figure out what our biggest stick is.

At this point I’m going to wrap up for this evening having gone through the international side of the debate. There were a number of great topics that were covered on the domestic side, including a question that should be familiar to my readers since I’d already asked it.

I have one incident to relate as a closing. At the end of the event, moderator Mike Farlow thanked the participants and audience and noted that there were two elected officials in the room. One was Jim Ireton, who is among my opposite number as he sits on the Democrats’ Central Committee, and the other was me. Obviously a few heads turned when my office was announced but Farlow continued, noting that “he writes probably one of the best political blogs in the area, monoblogue.” I did note that someone had to be the loyal opposition. But I appreciate the kind remarks and thought that this was a worthwhile event to cover because there’s been a lot of attention placed on the GOP side with its mudslinging and the Democrats have sort of flown under the radar. By the way, Ireton sat next to me and we had an interesting little chat going as they went along. Nothing untoward, mind you, but he did have some interesting observations I may share tomorrow.

Dirty tricks and lack of proof

I heard the ad in question a couple times on WICO today and figured that soon there would be a response from Andy Harris’s camp – sure enough my e-mail got the following late this afternoon:

State Senator Andy Harris today called Wayne Gilchrest’s new attack ad an “outright fabrication.” He called on Gilchrest to stop engaging in negative attacks and start telling the voters the truth about where each of them stand on the issue of illegal immigration.

“I don’t think the contrast on this issue could be more clear,” said Andy Harris.  “I oppose amnesty, Wayne Gilchrest supports it.  This ad is a complete fabrication of the facts.  The voters deserve better.”

Senator Allen Kittleman Republican Minority Whip said, “I am disappointed Gilchrest would resort to the dirty trick of intentionally misleading voters about a sitting state senator’s record, especially one with such a clear record of leadership on taxes and illegal immigration.”

(snip)

In the negative attack ad, Gilchrest claims Andy supports giving illegal immigrants drivers’ licenses.  Senator Janet Greenip, sponsor of the REAL ID Act of 2007, a law to crackdown on illegal immigration, points out this could not be further from the truth, “Andy has been a leader with me as we have fought to prevent illegal immigrants from receiving drivers’ licenses.”

Harris has a clear and a consistent record of leadership opposing illegal immigration while in the State Senate.  This year, Andy’s leadership to filibuster a bill allowing in-state tuition for illegal immigrants in the Maryland State Senate killed the bill. Andy co-sponsored Senator Greenip’s REAL ID Act of 2007 to prevent illegal immigrants from receiving drivers’ licenses.

(snip)

“As a member of Congress, I will continue to oppose ALL forms of amnesty and will vote to secure our border,” said Andy Harris.

In the release, Harris picked out the same bills that I discussed previously in this post. But what Gilchrest has not done (and perhaps there’s an update that can be sent to me) is cite the bill that Harris voted for which states as Gilchrest claims. At least the Harris people send me proof of their charges, which I can check out. Until then, all I have is the smear tactic that an incumbent who may be running scared is using.

Oh, I know that this release has been on a couple other sites but I like to delve deeper into these things, plus I had an event this evening that I’ll write about on monoblogue tomorrow. Hope this was worth the wait.

Crossposted on Red Maryland.

Congressional candidates on the issues, part 7 (wrapup)

The final part of this series deals with the Long War. It’s the most important issue to me, particularly as the surge continues to work and we inch closer to a stable Middle Eastern ally in Iraq.

Most people who have read monoblogue know that I’ve had my run-ins with Wayne Gilchrest over his votes to begin pulling troops out of Iraq. While I can understand his push for diplomacy, I prefer the settlement we had with Japan and Nazi Germany at the end of World War II – surrender terms. In this case, the idea is to subdue the fundamentalist Islamic forces to no longer be a significant military threat by denying them safe havens like Iraq and Afghanistan were under Saddam Hussein and the Taliban, respectively.

Opponent Robert Banks sums up his stance on the Long War this way:

As your Congressman, I will fully support our men and women in uniform who are willing to lay down their lives to preserve the freedom we enjoy, and, in most cases, take for granted. My votes in Congress relating to the War on Terror will be pro-military and pro-defense. We must support the Administration and applaud our military for keeping this nation safe from attack since 9/11/01.

Our soldiers have sacrificed in countless ways: lost time with their families, missed births and deaths, Christmases away from home – not to mention the possibility of injury or death on foreign soil. If we do not continue to fully support them, those sacrifices will have been in vain.

Partisan politics has no place in this war. A hasty withdrawal from Iraq would be a catastrophe for us at home and for the people in the Middle East whose lives depend on establishing stability there. Terrorists would see our retreat as a victory for them, further enforcing their belief that America is nothing more than a paper tiger. We must hold the line – breathe deeply – and do what is right.

Unusual for Joe Arminio, he lays out his plan for Iraq and the greater war on terror on his website. Of course, he wrote that pre-surge. More recently, below is part of a release called “How To Fix The Economy And Solve The War”:

I turn now to the war in Iraq. It should unsettle us that the very Neocons who have done their part to wreck the economy are the very authors and executives of the war in Iraq. But perhaps they are right in this instance, even though they are very wrong regarding the economy. After all, there were those Muslim suicide squads who brought mass murder to our shores. After all, we were and are absolutely in the right to retaliate and hunt the terrorists down like the dogs they are. I myself am for hunting them down.

As one would expect from previous posts, John Leo Walter has some thoughtful things about our efforts.

But if brevity is the soul of wit, Andy Harris takes the cake.

For the Democrats, we hear from both candidates in this case. I’ll start with Christopher Robinson, who notes on his site:

We must bring about a sensible end to our nation’s involvement in the war in Iraq. Our troops have done everything they were asked to do. Sadam Hussein is gone. There are no weapons of mass destruction. A freely elected government is in place. There remains an internal struggle for power which the Iraqis themselves must resolve. Our troops cannot win someone else’s civil war. We need to stop pouring our future into that sea of conflict. (Emphasis in original).

Also:

Our government’s most fundamental obligation is to protect its citizens. The current Administration has failed to forge effective alliances with other nations in the fight against terrorism. We can not – indeed we must not – fight the war on international terrorism on our own. The most important weapon in our nation’s arsenal against international terrorism is resolve.

Frank Kratovil also shows how he’d fit in with the Democrats in Congress.

As the most important category, this portion is worth 27 points. Honestly, we’re at a point where I like two candidates and the order’s not going to change much. But to humor everyone, I’ll carry out the scoring with how I like each of these hopefuls’ stances.

I’m not going to take all 27 points away from Gilchrest only because he’s studied the issue and can back up his views. Unfortunately, he advocates negotiating with countries who are not interested in doing what’s best for both sides, but enhancing their power in the region. So I am penalizing him 20 points because, quite simply, he’s voted the wrong way on the issue by supporting withdrawal without victory.

Robert Banks almost lost a point by pandering a bit, but I’ll let him slide. He gets the 27 points.

Joe Arminio says a lot. But the one word that bothers me most is “neocon”. There’s a lot of things he is correct on 100% but in the world we inhabit, the isolationist policies he seems to prefer allow our enemies to continue unfettered and become stronger in the long run. I like his ideas about dealing with Iran, but can’t see how we can trust other people to finish the job we’ve started in Iraq. I’ll give him 5 points simply for the Iran idea.

John Leo Walter presents a nice history lesson in his explanation of why he supports the policies he does. It’s very simple – “we must kill or capture all terrorist (sic) before they can attack us here at home.” Yes John, you get the 27 points.

Andy Harris says much the same thing, in far fewer words. While that would be a detriment because I like details, I also know he served in Desert Shield/Storm so he has some familiarity with the situation. Andy gets the 27 points as well.

Now for the cut and run crew. Neither of these guys (Robinson or Kratovil) think we should be in Iraq. Fair enough. What alternative would you suggest? Diplomacy doesn’t count because these folks we’re fighting against have no compunction about lying to get what they want. (You know, that sounds like some other groups we’ve tried diplomacy with, namely North Korea and the Soviet Union.) In particular, Christopher Robinson, what resolve is there in pulling out before the job is complete? And the answer to Frank Kratovil’s question “how do we get out of Iraq in a way that does not adversely impact our foreign policy interests and does not leave Iraq, the region and the world in a more precarious position than before we went to war” is that we win. Simple, huh? Anything less is defeat.

Needless to say, they both lose all 27 points.

Yes, I’m very black and white on this. Deal with it.

Before I add the totals up, there are a few intangibles to take into account for most of the Republican candidates. It’s items that I don’t specifically cover but I feel may lead some people who are undecided into making a choice.

Joe Arminio:

add points for: stance on patent law, advocation of missile defense.

subtract points for: none.

net gain/loss: +2 points.

Robert Banks:

add points for: pro-life.

subtract points for: none.

net gain/loss: +1 point.

Wayne Gilchrest:

add points for: none.

subtract points for: none.

net gain/loss: none.

Andy Harris:

add points for: pro-life.

subtract points for: none.

net gain/loss: +1 point.

John Leo Walter:

add points for: pro-life.

subtract points for: stance on tort reform (see here).

net gain/loss: none.

I suppose in order to make this properly climactic enough, I’ll start with the guys I can’t vote for anyway, the Democrats. Neither of them are a “winner”, but the least bad alternative because of his immigration stand (and only haveing three scorable issues) is Frank Kratovil with -26 points while Christopher Robinson finished at -61.

Now to the Republican race:

  1. Andy Harris, 87.5 points
  2. John Leo Walter, 81 points
  3. Robert Banks, 37 points
  4. Joe Arminio, 22 points
  5. Wayne Gilchrest, -20 points

Much like the Presidential race, there was more than one good candidate who shined through. But based on the results, I endorse Andy Harris for election to Congress.

However, if you would like a fresh, non-political face to represent you, I highly recommend John Leo Walter if you want an alternative. I’d like to see John run again if either Andy loses in November 2008, at the end of the 8-12 years Harris thought he’d want the job, or when the Democrats draw Andy’s part of the district out. In the meantime, John may want to consider a Maryland post in 2010.

Well, there you have it. You know, it’s unfortunate that we have two good candidates for the post when we can’t get anyone to run in several places. Guess that’s the way it goes – either way we have a great election coming up and I can’t stress enough that in order to participate if you’re not a registered Republican, you have until close of business Monday to change your registration.

Another idea O’Malley is sure to pounce on

Since the dawn of online shopping, states have fretted about the loss of sales tax revenues stemming from Internet sites who do not collect state taxes. While some states depend on the honesty of taxpayers to report these transactions and pay the sales tax after the fact with their tax returns, the fact remains that most who buy online do so in order to avoid paying the premium on goods that occurs when stores have an actual shop within their state. (Around these parts, the savings of 5 percent that’s soon to increase to at least 6 percent drives consumers to shop in tax-free Delaware for big-ticket items.)

It was mentioned on Rush this afternoon but Joseph Goldberg, writing in the New York Sun, noted that New York Governor Eliot Spitzer has leaned on the web retailer Amazon.com to collect sales tax from Empire State residents who partake of Amazon’s wares. This adds a premium of 8 percent or so to the purchase price New Yorkers would otherwise pay.

In some respects, this hits me where I live because I’m an Amazon affiliate as well. According to Goldberg’s article:

At issue is the “affiliate program” used by many e-retailers. Web site operators can provide a link to an e-retailer in return for a commission on any sale resulting from customers using the link. While the affiliate program may consist of little more than a non-descript advertisement on the computer screen, the tax consequences may be huge: New York state says it is the equivalent of having an instate salesperson.

“It’s just treating the affiliate the same way we would treat any other type of sales representative,” Mr. Spitzer’s budget director, Paul Francis, said in an interview.

These levies could be catastrophic to online sellers of all sorts. Once the door is opened as Spitzer is attempting to do, what’s to stop other states from adopting the same policy? I’m sure our Governor would love to collect the millions that go uncollected from sales through these sorts of programs. Not only would Amazon.com be affected but something tells me that other affiliate-based programs like that found on Art.com and Google’s AdSense may be hit as well. I think that either the programs will be dropped or the commissions further reduced as more states jump on the Spitzer bandwagon.

This also comes on the heels of a moratorium on Internet use taxes that just passed through Congress and was signed into law. Unfortunately, a permanent prohibition could not be passed so the process will open up again in 2014.

While the particular Spitzer tax isn’t the issue in what follows here, it occurs to me as I look into this that here is a subject which could also serve as a chink in the armor to those who favor the FairTax. Because the FairTax is supposed to be collected on items which are new, a retailer like Amazon.com or particularly Ebay could run into trouble when they sell a mix of new and used items. While I still think the FairTax is the way to go I can see the issue with retailers maybe reclassifying items to avoid having to collect these levies when they sell both sorts of items.

On the whole, don’t be surprised if and when New York makes a go of this policy that our tax-hungry Governor O’Malley is right behind them in line trying to press Amazon.com and its cohorts into doing the same thing for Maryland buyers.

Late edit: Just about the time I finished writing this, it was reported that Spitzer was dropping this plan as well as one to supply driver’s licenses to illegals. But that doesn’t mean someone in Annapolis wasn’t paying attention.