Baseball playoff update 9-23

9 days to play until the end of the season. Here’s how things shake out.

American League:

In:

New York (93-60, AL East champions). Their magic number to clinch home field throughout is 8, magic number for first round is 7. Tonight the Yankees are at Tampa Bay, Randy Johnson (17-10, 4.93) against J.P. Howell (0-3, 6.53).

Possibly in after today:

DETROIT (92-62, leads AL Central by 1 1/2 over Minnesota). A win today at Kansas City combined with a Chicago loss against the Mariners assures the Tigers at least a wild card. The game against the Royals has Kenny Rogers (16-6, 3.74) against Mark Redman (10-9, 5.33). For the division title, the Tigers’ magic number is 8.

Oakland (90-63, leads AL West by 8 over Los Angeles). Win today and they’re in, they host the Angels. Pitching matchup is John Lackey (11-11, 3.73) for Los Angeles against Joe Blanton (16-11, 4.74) for the Athletics.

Working on that magic number:

Minnesota (90-63, leads wild card by 5 1/2 over Chicago). They could by in by the end of the weekend, but can’t clinch today. The Twins square off against Baltimore at Camden Yards, Scott Baker (5-8, 6.33) takes the mound for Minnesota against the Orioles’ Eric Bedard (15-9, 3.62). Their magic number to clinch at least a playoff berth is 4.

Falling away:

Chicago (85-69). The White Sox could be eliminated from the division title today and a loss would all but doom their chances of a World Series repeat. Felix Hernandez (11-14, 4.68) takes the mound for visiting Seattle against Chicago’s Mark Buehrle (12-13, 4.79).

Could be gone today:

Boston (83-71). Last night they eliminated the Blue Jays, today the Jays could return the favor. Devern Hansack (8-7, 3.26 at AA Portland) makes his major league debut for Boston against the Blue Jays’ A.J. Burnett (8-8, 3.97).

Los Angeles (82-71). See Oakland above. A loss by the Angels and a Minnesota win would officially eliminate Los Angeles from the playoff picture.

National League:

In:

New York (92-61) is in and has home field throughout.

Possibly in after today:

No team can clinch a playoff spot in the NL today.

Working on that magic number:

San Diego (81-72, leads NL West by 1/2 game over Los Angeles). The Padres host Pittsburgh late tonight, Zach Duke (10-13, 4.49) goes for the Pirates against Jake Peavy (9-14, 4.25) for San Diego. Magic number for the Padres is 9 for both division title and wild card.

St. Louis (80-72, leads NL Central by 5 1/2 over Cincinnati and Houston). St. Louis continues a weekend series in Houston with Anthony Reyes (5-7, 4.92) on the hill for the Cards against the Astros’ Roy Oswalt (14-8, 3.05). St. Louis lost last night so their magic number to win yet another NL Central crown stayed at 5.

Los Angeles (81-73, leads wild card by 1/2 game over Philadelphia). In the final game of the evening, the Dodgers host Arizona. Pitching for the Diamondbacks will be Miguel Batista (10-7, 4.40) countered by the Dodgers’ Brad Penny (16-8, 4.13). Magic number to clinch a wild card is 9.

Falling away:

Philadelphia (80-73). Actually, they may be the team working on the magic number after tonight; certainly they’ll be scoreboard watching later. Hosting the Florida Marlins this afternoon, the Phillies will face Brian Moehler (7-9, 6.09) while they counter with Jon Lieber (8-10, 5.03).

Florida (76-78). See Philadelphia above. Two more losses to the Phillies this weekend and the Marlins’ improbable playoff run will be practically finished.

Cincinnati (75-78). The Reds host the lowly Cubs, but they also draw their best pitcher as Carlos Zambrano (15-6, 3.38) pitches for Chicago against Cincinnati’s Kyle Lohse (4-9, 5.81 overall between Minnesota and Cincinnati).

Houston (75-78). See St. Louis above. Tomorrow night the Astros could be driven to the brink of elimination on national TV.

San Francisco (75-78). The Giants lost a wild one in Milwaukee last night, tonight it’s Noah Lowry (7-10, 4.70) facing the Brewers’ Chris Capuano (11-11, 3.67).

Atlanta (75-79). Atlanta may have 2 days left in the “official” playoff picture, the National League playoffs without the Tomahawk Chop will be a bit strange. But the Braves press on in Colorado, who was eliminated last night. Atlanta sends Kyle Davies (3-5, 7.18) out against Jeff Francis (12-11, 3.88) of the Rockies.

Could be gone today:

Arizona (72-81). See Los Angeles above. They lost to the Dodgers last night to place themselves on the brink of elimination, now they need a 9-0 run just to make .500 for the season.

Tomorrow’s “could be gone today” column in the NL looks to be a lot fatter. It’s almost ridiculous that 11 teams out of 16 still have a shot. What’s really bad is that a team just a few games over .500 will sneak in while teams like the White Sox, Angels, or Red Sox will be left out. Another reason to hate interleague play.

Pre-election planning

Since this turns out to be a “milestone” post (number 250)* I wanted to do something “important” with it. With just over 6 weeks remaining until the general election, this seems like a pretty good time to work out some of what I’m planning to do with monoblogue for election coverage.

First of all though I’m going to go back and review my pre-primary election coverage. There were four major initiatives I began during that period, some were more successful than others.

The first part of the equation was expanded coverage of political forums, which I thought were very successful in the two most important aspects – it gave people who couldn’t be there an idea of what went on and it also brought new readers to monoblogue. With the exception of the weeks immediately after I was on vacation and also last week after the primary election, monoblogue readership has established new all-time highs week after week since about the first of June. According to my much stricter Site Meter, I had close to 800 readers in the week before the primary, and my server’s more generous hit counter has already established an all-time high this month with another 9 days left (when my last reading was taken), a hit rate that’s on pace to blow by the 40,000 mark (once only dreamed about during my “ttown’s right-wing conspiracy” days on Blogspot) and challenge the 50,000 hit mark for the first time. Obviously I’ve had some success with my forum coverage and also with my expanded links list and Election Calendar (which were part of my second initiative).

On the other hand, I don’t think the Ten Questions (my third initiative) worked out like I’d hoped, particularly on the U.S. Senate side. There’s many an expert who advises candidates not to answer open questions like those I presented; unfortunately these so-called experts think that 30 second commercials are the basis for good campaigning. I think what I’m going to do for the U.S. Senate race now is use the candidate’s own websites to answer these issue-related questions as best I can, although with Kevin Zeese I can supplement his own answers. Fortunately, that’s not going to be too time-consuming as we have just three candidates. If Michael Steele can’t even send his answers to the Baltimore Sun, he’s not going to mess with a website that has just a few hundred readers (for now.) So my thought is that the Ten Questions for candidates of that level was a good try, but likely not useful in statewide elections. I think I’ll resubmit these (with one change since early voting was overturned) to the surviving (and opposed) General Assembly candidates to either change any answers they feel like changing or answering them anew. Ten Questions seemed to work better for local-level races.

The final initiative was devoting some time and coverage to my own campaign. Unlike a website that’s specifically to boost electoral prospects, monoblogue started well before I decided to throw my hat into the ring and (good Lord willing) will continue far into the future. As I’ve stated, I’ve done local newsletters before to keep people in my precinct informed about Central Committee happenings and will do more of that after I’m sworn in. Fortunately monoblogue can cover all of Wicomico County, no more hand delivery! I found out on Thursday night that I’ll officially be sworn in during the fall Maryland Republican Party convention in Annapolis on December 2nd.

Looking back at what I did, I have to say that not finishing last was a pretty good achievement, considering that all of my opponents were a) older and b) have lived and worked in Wicomico County for a period of time, whereas I moved here in October 2004. I started with probably zero name recognition unless you recalled a Letter to the Editor I wrote at one time or another to the Daily Times or knew me from monoblogue. And as stated, my website only covers a few hundred readers, some of whom are either Democrat, independent, or live outside the county. Having no idea what kind of response I’d get, I’m very grateful to the 3,363 voters who had enough confidence in me and my ideas to vote for me. And all the votes counted – if just three fewer people voted for me I would’ve been the cow’s tail, it was that close!

But my goal for the next time is to get about 5,000 votes in the same race, in part because people saw the job I did in helping the Republican Party improve itself here in Wicomico County, and also because there’s more Republicans! Actually, I’d like to improve upon the number of ballots I was voted on to about 65-70%. John Bartkovich finished first because he was on 68.7% of the ballots whereas Ed Heath and I (the tail-enders) finished right about 53%.

However, this is now all past history. My main focus in the next 6 1/2 weeks is the biggest races – governor, U.S. Senator, General Assembly Districts 37 and 38, and Wicomico County Executive. (The County Executive race, needless to say, has been turned on its ear by events over the last 10 days.) Those are ones I’m going to try to cover and analyze in-depth as far as where each candidate stands on main issues involving the Eastern Shore. Because the Sheriff and County Council contests had a lot more play during the primary due to the sheer number of candidates, I can focus a little less on those as many of their positions are already known and previously covered.

I’m also going to try and “fill in the blanks” as far as websites go. I believe I have all of the Maryland statewide candidates linked now. There’s a few left in the General Assembly that I have to get (Jeannie Haddaway, Lowell Stoltzfus if he does one, and possibly one in Senate District 37) but most of my focus for link collection would be on local Wicomico County races as I’m sure some of the local folks will get online too. I also have expanded my Delaware offferings some in the last few days as well. Those are of more limited scope so using those links for further self-guided research will likely have to suffice. Of course, I’ll also check through things as I do the weekly Election Calendar.

Since events during election time can occur without a lot of notice (not to mention I’ll be moving my household and volunteering for headquarters and various campaigns), I’m probably not going to set any sort of schedule in stone for race analysis and such like I did with the Ten Questions, which were generally on set days of the week. The only constant I plan on keeping is Sunday for the Election Calendar and that may yet become flexible, particularly around mid-October when I shift locales.

But I think this is going to be an exciting month and a half as both Maryland and (to a lesser extent) Delaware select their respective representative governments. Of course, after that we’ll have a short holiday lull but then the races in the city of Salisbury will ratchet up after the first of the year and then the prologue to the 2008 Presidential campaign starts up next summer with early straw polls. (That will be Maryland’s only statewide race in 2008 as both of our U.S. Senators will be midterm.)

Needless to say I’m looking forward to serving the Wicomico County Republican Party on their Central Committee and the voting public on monoblogue.

* The way WordPress works, my pages also act as posts and are assigned numbers, plus along the way I’ve deleted a couple of test posts. So this isn’t actually the exact 250th post but its sequential number is 250.

Let’s see how far this gets before the court challenge

I was reading in the RSC blog about a bill called the Federal Election Integrity Act of 2006 (HR 4844). This bill would amend the Help America Vote Act of 2002 by REQUIRING photo ID be presented at federal elections beginning in November of 2008. (As HR 4844 was originally introduced, the date was 2006 but the bill languished too long, darn it.) The bill will also appropriate some money to states to enable indigent people to get a photo ID. I think Georgia had a similar law just struck down by a court in their state, so if it somehow gets through the Senate I’m thinking the ACLU will attempt to block implementation in record time!

The one point that made me decide to post this bill was the Constitutional reference in the RSC blog post, and sure enough it says in black and white on my copy, “The Times, Places and Manner of holding Elections for Senators and Representatives, shall be prescribed in each State by the Legislature thereof; but the Congress may at any time by Law make or alter such Regulations, except as to the Places of chusing Senators.” (Article I, Section 4). The reason Senators were exempt at the time was because they were originally chosen by the state legislatures, the Seventeenth Amendment did away with that practice. (Personally I think all three amendments from 16th to 18th were mistakes, unfortunately we’ve only gotten rid of the 18th.)

While I read the blog post from a couple days ago, I also saw that this bill did pass the House on a 228-196 vote, with 4 Democrats siding with the majority and 3 Republicans with the minority.

Just for fun on the Thomas website, I found a list of 89 groups opposing this bill. Here’s those groups.

A. Philip Randolph Institute; ACORN; Advancement Project; Aguila Youth Leadership Institute; Alliance for Retired Americans; American Association of People with Disabilities; American Association of Retired Persons (AARP); American Civil Liberties Union; American Civil Liberties Union of Arizona; American Federation of Labor–Congress of Industrial Organizations (AFL-CIO); American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees; American Immigration Lawyers Association; American Policy Center; Americans for Democratic Action; Arizona Advocacy Network; Arizona Consumers Council; Arizona Hispanic Community Forum; Arizona Students’ Association; Asian American Justice Center; Asian American Legal Defense and Education Fund; Asian and Pacific Islander American Vote (APIA Vote); Asian Pacific American Labor Alliance, AFL-CIO; Brennan Center for Justice at NYU School of Law; Center for Digital Democracy; Common Cause; Computer Professionals for Social Responsibility; Concerned Foreign Service Officers; Congressional Hispanic Caucus; Consumer Action; Cyber Privacy Project; Democratic Women’s Working Group; De.AE8mos: A Network for Ideas & Action; Electronic Privacy Information Center; Emigrantes Sin Fronteras; Fairfax County Privacy Council; Friends Committee on National Legislation; Hispanic Federation; Hispanic National Bar Association; Interfaith Worker Justice of Arizona; Intertribal Council of Arizona; Japanese American Citizens League (JACL), La Union Del Pueblo Entero (LUPE); Labor Council for Latin American Advancement; Lawyers’ Committee for Civil Rights Under Law; Leadership Conference on Civil Rights; League of United Latin American Citizens; League of Women Voters of Greater Tucson; League of Women Voters of the United States; Legal Momentum; Mexican-American Legal Defense and Educational Fund; National Association for the Advancement of Colored People (NAACP); National Association of Latino Elected and Appointed Officials Educational Fund; National Center for Transgender Equality; National Congress of American Indians; National Council of Jewish Women; National Council of La Raza; National Disability Rights Network; National Education Association; National Korean American Service & Education Consortium; National Urban League; National Voting Rights Institute; Navajo Nation; New York Public Interest Research Group, Inc./NYPIRG; Ohio Taxpayers Association & OTA Foundation; People for the American Way Foundation; Project for Arizona’s Future; Protection and Advocacy System; RainbowPUSH Coalition; Republican Liberty Caucus; SEIU Local 5 Arizona; Service Employees International Union (SEIU); Sikh American Legal Defense and Education Fund (SALDEF); Somos America/We Are America; Southwest Voter Registration Education Project; The Multiracial Activist; The Rutherford Institute; Tohono O’odham Nation; Transgender Law Center; U.S. PIRG; Unitarian Universalist Association of Congregations; United Auto Workers; United Church of Christ Justice & Witness Ministries; United Methodist Church, General Board of Church and Society; United States Student Association; United Steelworkers; UNITE-HERE; Velvet Revolution; William C. Velasquez Institute; YWCA USA.

The only ones I can’t figure out are the Ohio Taxpayers Association, Republican Liberty Caucus, and The Rutherford Institute. Apparently the federal intervention outweighs the fact that it’s spelled out in the Constitution and I’m betting that’s what the 3 Republicans saw as their guide to vote against the act. The OTA probably sees this as another unfunded federal mandate. There’s arguments to be had from each group but on balance I think this bill’s become necessary.

Regardless, voter ID is one step closer to reality although I doubt the Senate will take this up because; to be honest, they’re pretty gutless about pissing off some of the above groups – particularly the Hispanic ones. So this may be all ado over nothing but I’ll have to take small victories where I can find them. There was one tonight I wasn’t going to win so here’s a little consolation.

Election Calendar updates – 9/20

Three things that just crossed my wire:

WICO’s Bill Reddish gave me (thanks as always) his upcoming political lineup for the next week or so:

September 21: House of Delegates District 38B hopeful Michael James.
September 22: Wicomico County Democratic Party chair Phil Tilghman.

September 25: City of Salisbury District 2 Councilwoman Debbie Campbell.
September 26: District 38 State Senator J. Lowell Stoltzfus.
September 27: Wicomico County Sheriff candidate Kirk Daugherty.

September 29: Wicomico County Council District 4 aspirant Bryan Brushmiller.

At the moment, there’s no one scheduled for Thursday the 28th, hopefully I’ll know by Sunday.

However, I did come across a happening on September 28th for our north of the border friends as incumbent State Treasurer (and also monoblogue-linked blogger) Jack Markell formally begins his re-election campaign in Georgetown at the Old Sussex County Courthouse at 8:30 a.m. (his first stop.)

I also found out via my normal little postcard I get from the WCRC that our speakers for Monday will be the “dynamic duo” of at-large County Council candidates M.J. Caldwell and John Cannon.

So that’s an update for today, and I’ll integrate these into next week’s Election Calendar.

Party time (minor version)

With this being the quadrennial election season in Maryland, most people’s attention turns to the races for the governor’s chair, control of each legislative body, and the two other statewide offices of Attorney General and Comptroller. What attracts much less fanfare is the effort for those parties who are considered to be minor parties to remain in good standing for another four years. At present, Maryland has four minor parties; the Constitution Party, the Green Party, the Libertarian Party, and the Populist Party. State election law (obviously set by the Democrats and Republicans) mandates that they have three possible routes to retain their status for the 2007-2010 election cycle:

* A statewide candidate needs to poll 1% or more of the vote in a Maryland general election, or;
* The party must have 1% or more of registered voters. If they have neither condition at the end of this election cycle, then;
* The party must petition its way back to status by submitting 10,000 valid signatures to the Board of Elections.

Judging by the history of these four parties, the prospects of continuing unabated through to the next election cycle are spotty at best – the Constitution Party in its various incarnations has been on and off the party rolls five times in ten years, and the Libertarians have lost status once in seven years. Only the Green Party has gone uninterrupted through an election cycle. (The Populists are in their very first cycle.) In the 2002 general election, only the Greens and Libertarians fielded candidates for state offices according to the Board of Elections website. Green Party candidates were in six contests, with three being write-in candidates who got little support (less than 1/4% of the vote, including a Comptroller candidate.) In three races where they were on the ballot for various House of Delegates seats, the Greens got between 2 and 14% of the vote. Meanwhile, there were two Libertarians running, one for governor and one for Congress. The governor candidate finished short of the 1% required by polling 0.68% (11,546 votes) while the Congressional officeseeker did better with just over 2.5% of the tally.

So how are prospects for 2006? Certainly they are better for some parties than others. While each of the four parties has candidates running for various offices, the number varies greatly. The Constitution Party has just two officeseekers running, both for House of Delegates seats. Meanwhile, the Populist Party also has two people on the ballot, but one is running for governor and looking to at least eclipse the magic 1% threshold. The other Populist is running for the House of Delegates. As for the Libertarian slate, it has four on it, but only two in state races and one of those is a technically non-partisan judge race. The other is running for Ben Cardin’s former Congressional seat. Libertarians also are on the ballot in Dorchester and Howard County races.

By far, the most successful minor party as far as candidate recruiting is the Green Party, which has 20 on the ballots for various state races – governor, 3 for U.S. Congress, 1 for State Senate, a judicial candidate, and ten folks running for House of Delegates seats, including a full slate of three in House of Delegates District 43. Plus they have 3 running in local jurisdictions as Greens. This doesn’t include U.S. Senate hopeful Kevin Zeese, who’s been crossendorsed by three of the four minor parties (all but the Constitution Party.)

The item I ran across awhile back that piqued my interest for writing this post was a note I got from the Libertarians because I’m on their mailing list. In it, they were worried about once again losing their status as a party in Maryland as their petition drive was sputtering. So I asked representatives from three of the four parties how their petition drives were going. I didn’t get reaction from the Constitution Party because they have just revamped their website and I couldn’t find an e-mail address of their state chair.

Chris Driscoll of the Populist Party wasn’t worried about the petition yet, sounding fairly positive about meeting the 1 percent threshold in the gubernatorial election (Driscoll is the Populist Party candidate.) He stated that their Central Committee decided early on to devote full attention to their candidates, and only after the November election would they work on the petition drive if needed.

Also sounding quite positive about her party’s chances to stay for another cycle was Patsy Allen of the Green Party, who noted that their petition drive was “very close” to the 10,000 they needed as of last Sunday (before the primary) and now was seeking the extra 4,000 or so as padding in case some signatures were ruled invalid. Allen stated that she herself had collected another 170 on primary Tuesday and that many others were soliciting signatures on primary day as well. (I’m sure the Lamone administration at the Maryland Board of Elections goes through Green Party submittals with a fine-toothed comb.)

However, Bob Johnston of the Libertarians was more glum, speculating that the party was “less than halfway” to their 10,000 signature mark, even with petitions gathered on primary day. While the Libertarians nationally have been around for a long while (since the early 1970’s) they haven’t found a lot of success as members get pulled out from both the left and right – parts of their message have been co-opted by both the liberal and conservative fringes. In Maryland, their slice of the left wing pie is being cut into by both the Greens and Populists.

I also found out in my research that the Reform Party, once a viable party in Maryland, lost its status after the last cycle and hasn’t yet regained it (and likely won’t.) It might be that come the next election cycle in 2007, we may be down to four or even just three parties again in Maryland as the other parties will have to restart the long process to revive themselves.

In looking at the most recent voter registration totals, none of the parties come anywhere close to the 1% threshold. With 3,105,236 registered voters in Maryland as of August 31, a party would need to have 31,053 registered voters and the highest total of the four minor parties is the Green Party with 8,023. The Libertarians place second with 4,059, there’s 495 registered Constitution Party members and Populists number just 90. These totals are dwarfed by even the number of unaffiliated voters – they have 14% of the total with 433,286 voters.

This led me to an interesting request. Even though I’m a member of the Republican Party, I’d like to see more voices on the political scene because it adds more to the battle of ideas that politics is at its root.

If you are one of those unaffiliated voters and it’s because you don’t feel strongly enough in either major party to vote straight ticket, a good idea might be to join these minor parties just to pump up their numbers and keep them on the ballot. You can always switch if a party that suits you better comes along!

Those of you who inhabit the left side of the political spectrum have three choices at the moment as I’m sure the Populists, Greens, and Libertarians would welcome new members; meanwhile, those to the right could perhaps find a home as a Libertarian or probably be more suited to the Constitution Party’s point of view. If just 10% of the unaffiliated people decided to join one “minor” party, that group would be insured ballot access perpetually, or at least until the two main parties changed the rules of the game. And you’d most likely still get to blow off primary elections like you do now.

In turn, getting these “minor” parties more permanent access could encourage more to form, like NYC blogger (“Suitably Flip“, a blog I link to) Philip Pidot’s Growth Party or another bellweather New York state party, the Conservative Party. And I believe putting more choices before voters would do more to increase turnout than all the early voting in the world. It doesn’t matter how many days you can vote if the choice is between Tweedledum and Tweedledee. In the Wicomico County GOP primary, turnout was pretty high because of a four-person race for Sheriff and a spirited three-way race for County Executive, as well as a five-person House of Delegates scrum in parts of the county. Meanwhile, Democrats had less to choose from and their lower turnout reflected this.

This is a time where I’m certainly placing principles above party. While strengthening the Green, Populist, and Libertarian parties would be a threat to the entrenched Democrats, a stronger Constitution Party would pull voters out of the Republican column. But my feeling is that the larger pool of interest would make up for the diminished market share of both Republicans and Democrats. Above all, I want people to be satisfied that they have a say in their affairs, and, with just two choices given by the major parties, a large segment of the population isn’t satisfied so they stay home on Election Day. Place more people inside the political process as candidates and you’ll find a more satisfied electorate.

Good quote

I haven’t done this in awhile, but I found this in today’s Patriot Post and thought it worth sharing. It coincides with my feelings about “stuff” and its purpose in life. The author is Rich Galen, who does a “cyber-column” called “Mullings“.

“Every American believes it is their constitutional right to own anything they want the second they decide they want it. Save up for something? Hah. Order online before 5 PM today and have it delivered to your doorstep by noon tomorrow. Lay-away? I’ll bet you can’t find three people in the country under the age of fifty who have ever heard of it or, having had it explained to them, would understand why it ever existed… Ohhhh [and] credit cards. Free money. The bottomless ATM machine. Put $2,000 on your credit card at 18% interest, pay the minimum every month and it will take 30 years to pay it off. But, no matter. If you max out on one card, just return the pre-printed form you got in the mail yesterday and another $2,500 to $5,000 in free money becomes available today for you to buy whatever decide you want tomorrow… The problem with Americans is we expect our reach, should it exceed our grasp (thus creating an expectation gap), to be met by our government; not by a hand up, but by a handout.”

I’m sure that when the word gets out that I’m a homeowner again that I’ll see umpteen pieces of junk mail a month telling me seductively that I can use the power of my home equity to get all the things I want, and it’s all tax deductible. I already get half a dozen credit solicitations and who knows how many telemarketer calls (caller ID is a wonderful invention.) Oh yes, and all those people who would LOVE to put siding, windows, roofing, etc. on my house. Been there done that, and I’m STILL paying for it, two credit card transfers later after starting out with that nice 15.9% interest rate on the original loan.

I know that the American economy runs on people buying stuff, but wouldn’t saving some money for a rainy day be a good idea?

Election Calendar updates

Two items of note:

Number one, U.S. Congressional candidate Jim Corwin will be on Bill Reddish’s show Wednesday morning in the normal political slot, 7:40 to 8:00 a.m.

Secondly, I got a note from Jim Gillespie on my post that the September 19th candidate forum (tomorrow) has been scrubbed. Well, no wonder I hadn’t heard about it.

Because I “buried” the Election Calendar post, I thought it prudent to make this its own post; but the remainder of items can be found two posts hence.

Standings report: 2 weeks to go

Baseball is getting down to the nitty gritty. With two weeks to go, there’s still nine AL teams and a whopping 14 NL teams who are still mathematically alive for the postseason; however, I’m going to ignore those who are likely going to be bounced this week. If their playoff elimination number is 6 or less, they ain’t gonna make it.

American League:

1. New York (90-58 pending tonight’s game with Boston, 10 1/2 game lead in AL East)

Magic number: 4 (or 2 if they win tonight) for division, 13 for home field

Remaining schedule: 3 at Tor, 4 at TB, 3 vs. Bal, 3 vs. Tor (composite 149 games under .500)

Because the Tigers have faded the Yankees will likely get home field throughout the playoffs. During the Toronto series they’ll likely punch their ticket to the playoffs in front of the Canadian fans. I think this will be something like 11 straight division titles?

2. DETROIT (89-60, 1 game lead in AL Central)

Magic number: 13 for division, 9 for playoffs

Remaining schedule: 3 at Chi, 1 at Bal, 3 at KC, 3 vs. Tor, 3 vs. KC (composite 141 games under .500)

While the schedule looks easy, it’s not like the White Sox are pushovers despite their recent fade and the Royals have played inspired ball the last month or so, passing Tampa Bay as far as overall record.

3. Minnesota (88-61, 4 game lead for wild card)

Magic number: 10 for wild card

Remaining schedule: 3 at Bos, 3 at Bal, 4 vs. KC, 3 vs. Chi (composite 109 games under .500)

The last series with the White Sox will probably eliminate one or the other, although I’ll take a heaping helping of inspired Royals ball against the Twins, please.

4. Oakland (86-62, 7 game lead in AL West)

Magic number: 7

Remaining schedule: 4 vs. Cle, 3 vs. LA, 3 at Sea, 4 at LA (composite 9 games over .500)

They lead LA by 7 games and play them 7 times. Enough said.

5. Chicago (84-65)

Remaining schedule: 3 vs. Det, 4 vs. Sea, 3 at Cle, 3 at Min (composite 110 games over .500)

None of their 13 remaining games are a bargain. While for the better part of the summer they remained close enough to Detroit to enable them to sweep a series with the Tigers and get to first, now that’s not possible. They have to keep the Twins in their sights now for that 3 game finale in the Metrodome.

Mathematically alive: Boston (80-69 pending tonight’s contest), Los Angeles (80-70), Toronto (79-70), Texas (76-74)

Also-rans: Seattle (71-78), Cleveland (69-79), Baltimore (64-85), Kansas City (58-92), Tampa Bay (57-92). The Royals in particular would love to avoid losing 100 games and be a spoiler at the same time.

National League:

1. New York (90-58, 13 1/2 game lead in NL East)

Magic number: 1 for division, 5 for home field

Remaining schedule: 4 vs. Fla, 4 vs. Was, 3 at Atl, 3 at Was (composite 103 games under .500)

I was shocked that they didn’t already clinch the East this weekend, instead they were swept by the lowly Pirates. Maybe they just wanted to do it at Shea, which they almost certainly will in the next day or two. By the end of the Florida series they might even gain home field throughout the NL playoffs.

2. St. Louis (79-68, 7 game lead in NL Central)

Magic number: 8

Remaining schedule: 3 at Mil, 4 at Hou, 3 vs. SD, 4 vs. Mil (composite 105 games under .500)

They have been the beneficiary of Cincinnati’s plummet from the race moreso than themselves playing good baseball. But they’re winning the “we don’t get to face the Mets until the NLCS” race for now.

3. San Diego (78-70, 1/2 game lead in NL West)

Magic number: 14 for division, 13 for playoffs

Remaining schedule: 1 vs. LA, 3 vs. Arz, 3 vs. Pit, 3 at StL, 4 at Arz (composite 81 games under .500)

That series with St. Louis looms large as far as number 2 seed goes but you can’t figure them to even make the playoffs yet with their close division and wild card races.

4. Los Angeles (78-71, 1 game lead for wild card)

Magic number: 13 for wild card

Remaining schedule: 1 vs. SD, 3 vs. Pit, 3 vs. Arz, 3 at Col, 3 at SF (composite 118 games under .500)

Obviously they have the easier schedule than San Diego does as the best team they have left is 74-74 San Francisco. But like Kansas City, the Pirates have looked a lot better in September and just swept the Mets. Could they damage another team?

5. Philadelphia (77-72)

Remaining schedule: 3 vs. Chi, 3 vs. Fla, 1 vs. Hou, 3 at Was, 3 at Fla (composite 153 games under .500)

The Marlins have done in the Phillies’ playoff chances a couple times in the last few years, and they’ll get another opportunity to do so this season. Playing the Cubs at home is almost a must-sweep situation.

6. San Francisco (74-74)

Remaining schedule: 3 at Col, 4 at Mil, 3 vs. Arz, 3 vs. LA (composite 93 games under .500)

Losing a game today at St. Louis due to rain may be the worst thing to happen to their hopes as they trail Los Angeles by 3 in the loss column and play them 3 times at the end. Since the Giants and Cards have no common off days left this may be a battle for October 2nd just to see if the Giants can get in the playoffs, but it’s doubtful they will anyhow.

Mathematically alive: Florida (74-75), Cincinnati (73-76), Atlanta (72-77), Houston (71-77), Arizona (71-78), Colorado (69-80)

Also-rans: Washington (65-84), Pittsburgh (63-87), Chicago (61-89). The Pirates have passed the Cubs for the NL basement, and they’ve got some talented young pitching there. The Cubs had talented young pitching about 3-4 years ago, now they have denizens of the DL.

If the playoffs started based on tonight’s standings, it would be:

AL – New York vs. Minnesota, Detroit vs. Oakland
NL – New York vs. Los Angeles, St. Louis vs. San Diego

Election Calendar – September 18 thru October 1

It’s baaaaaaack. As promised, here is the Election Calendar for the remainder of September as I have it from various sources. I also have decided to bring back Delaware events because there’s a couple statewide candidates who will have events in Sussex County for those of you “north of the border.” I know I get the occasional reader from there, so I’ll add that in for this week at least (all the events are in the next few days.)

I’m also going to check my “alternate” e-mail I use for campaign e-mail lists to see who I need to get stuff from, I get quite a bit but some campaigns I’ve noticed as absent. And don’t be surprised if I put in some breaking news from any of Maryland’s six political parties, I’ve actually contacted three of the four so-called minor parties regarding an upcoming post.

Once again, if you’re a new reader (and I’ve gotten plenty in the last few weeks) I post events which happen on the lower Eastern Shore (I define that as Cambridge south) and am resuming checking out Sussex County in Delaware for at least their statewide candidates. I do check the Virginia statewide stuff as well just in case one of their Congressional or Senate candidates finds themselves in Accomack County. Hasn’t happened yet but you never know.

So here’s the calendar. In this revised rendition I’m going to go in chronological order regardless of county, that makes more sense to me. When I begin to hear once again from Bill Reddish about political guests such as I did pre-primary, I’ll place those at the bottom.

Monday, September 18: Delaware U.S. Senate candidate Jan Ting will speak at the Fenwick Island Lions Club at 12 noon. He’s also scheduled a speaking engagement the next day for the Rotary Club at Sussex Pines Country Club.

Tuesday, September 19: On his calendar, Wicomico County Clerk of the Courts candidate James Gillespie has a candidate forum, but I’m not aware of the time or place. If he’s slated to be there (wherever it is) I’m sure many more will be there too!

Wednesday, September 20: District 38B Delegate Jim Mathias is hosting coffee from 7:30 to 10 a.m. at Layton’s Family Restaurant, 16th and Coastal Highway in Ocean City.

I also believe that the Wicomico County Democratic Club has their meeting that evening because I’m under the impression that they meet the third Wednesday of the month. I plug the Republican Club because I’m a member but people can hear the other side of things as well, right?

Thursday, September 21: Jim Mathias also has on his calendar the Ocean City Sunfest. I’m sure others will be there as well. This goes through Sunday the 24th.

Also during that day, Delaware State Treasurer Jack Markell will be making an appearance at Grotto Pizza in Seaford from 3 to 3:45 p.m. to share pizza and pop with interested parties. Grotto is right along Route 13 in Seaford – if you’re coming from Salisbury and you go by the Wal-Mart you went too far.

And that night, James Gillespie has an appearance scheduled at the Urban Salisbury Crab Feast. According to the Urban Salisbury website, that starts at 5:00 p.m. at City Bistro.

Friday, September 22: No events scheduled. I get another year older.

Saturday, September 23: Two events I plan on attending on this day:

The J. Lowell Stoltzfus “Picnic in the Park” will not be in the park, but in the Midway Room of the Wicomico Civic Center. This runs from 1 to 4 p.m. and cost is $30. The honored special guest is Maryland U.S. Senate candidate, Lieutenant Governor Michael Steele. I’m sure the local GOP contingent will be well-represented.

Then from 3 to 7 p.m. the “Your Vote, Your Voice” event will be held at Salisbury University. Two candidates who have this on their calendars are the aforementioned James Gillespie and also Maryland U.S. Senate hopeful Kevin Zeese, the Independent Unity candidate(Green/Populist/Libertarian). A political event in Red Square? Hmmmmm. Besides that, I want to know: what local bands will be there?

Sunday, September 24: No events scheduled.

Monday, September 25: As is customary, the Wicomico County Republican Club will have its monthly meeting at the Chamber of Commerce Building, 144 E. Main Street in Salisbury. Social time at 7 p.m., meeting begins at 7:30. I’m not sure who the speaker is yet this month, I’ll likely know by next week if not before.

Tuesday, September 26: Another event I’ve been invited to and will likely attend, this is the Public Awareness Forum at the Holly Center. This continental breakfast gets underway at 8:00 a.m. and runs through 9:00. It will be held in the gymnasium of the Massey Activities Building, 926 Snow Hill Road in Salisbury. I bring this up not for me, but for the fact both District 38B hopeful Bonnie Luna and Clerk of the Courts candidate James Gillespie have this event on their dockets as well.

Wednesday, September 27 through Saturday, September 30: No events scheduled.

Sunday, October 1: Delegate Jim Mathias hosts a “Meet the Candidate” get-together from 1 to 3 p.m. and again from 4 to 6 p.m. at Occasionally Yours, 10514 Racetrack Road, Berlin.

This is what I have for now. I’m sure over the week I’ll get more. Kudos to the candidates as more and more put their calendars on their websites!

WCRC Crab Feast 2006

As one would expect since I’m a member of the Wicomico County Republican Club, I was at their Crab Feast yesterday. And also as one would expect since I do monoblogue, I took some pictures. First of all, it was pretty obvious for those driving along Schumaker Drive who was renting the pavilion.

Political signs in riotous color and arrangement.

The weather didn’t start out too well, when I arrived it was pouring down rain – this seems to be usual for an outdoor GOP event. But about an hour into the picnic the skies brightened and by the end it was a gorgeous sunny afternoon. The rain didn’t stop the crowd from showing up, that’s for sure.

Tents full of lovers of both crabs and politics.

And as always at these events, we had the silent auction tables going. I put in a couple bids for the guitar pictured at left. Otherwise, the timing of this was bad for me – I’m trying to make myself have LESS stuff to move not more!! The auction did reasonably well; I didn’t tally it up as they went but the club made several hundred dollars from it. I think the largest dollar item (a years’ membership at the midshore Y) went for $175.

The silent auction tables with their wares.

After enough time had passed for most of the patrons to partake of some of Maryland’s finest homecaught fare, party chair Dr. John Bartkovich introduced many of the politicians in attendance. Now they each were supposed to take 30 seconds, I don’t think one of them actually took that little time. But it was over in about 20 minutes or so.

District 38B candidate Bonnie Luna speaks to the gathering.

District 38B Delegate candidates Bonnie Luna and Michael James (pictured speaking above and below) were among those. In the above picture from left to right is incoming Central Committee member Dave Parker, District 38 State Senator J. Lowell Stoltzfus, District 37 State Senator Rich Colburn (in the pink shirt, obscured by Sen. Stoltzfus), James, House of Delegates District 38A Delegate Page Elmore, Dr. Bartkovich, Mary Beth Carozzo (representing Governor Ehrlich’s office), Wicomico County District 3 Councilwoman Gail Bartkovich (in the background), and Luna.

Michael James talked briefly as well, but looked relieved to finish.

We also heard from the local Wicomico County hopefuls, including two of our highest priority ones (from left), James Gillespie (Clerk of the Courts) and Mike Lewis (Sheriff).

Two of the Wicomico GOP's brightest hopes for November.

We didn’t hear from Ron Alessi, though, and I know he was present for at least some amount of time because he and I exchanged greetings. In fact, I really didn’t see too many of the unsuccessful candidates, either. But I did get to talk to most of the remaining ones, including introducing myself to District 5 hopeful Joe Holloway, who I hadn’t met previously. Soon I’ll be a resident of his district.

Among those making remarks that I didn’t photograph was Orphans Court Judge aspirant George Ossman, who had an interesting companion. He made a plug for one of his Democrat opponents, Melissa Pollitt Bright, who does deserve credit for being bipartisan and hanging out with the Republicans for an afternoon. (Who knows, maybe she’ll come over to the dark side after all is said and done like Hunter Nelms did.) The only problem I have with that theory is because the D’s hold the registration advantage, loyal D’s will vote for all three of theirs and we don’t need to add to one’s total. But vote as you wish, I’m just making an observation and we do appreciate Judge Pollitt Bright for supporting our club yesterday.

I have one other item that definitely deserves comment. I’m not a Maryland native so eating crab doesn’t come to me second nature, nor do I like seafood all that much anyhow. But I do know corn, and I really wish I’d been paying attention when they thanked some of the farms who supplied the corn and tomatoes (for the burgers that were also on the menu) because whoever brought the corn on the cob brought some seriously Grade A stuff like I haven’t had in many moons. THAT was awesome sweet corn, a little butter and pepper and man was that good. Seeing it in the “cooler” that was serving as a warmer make me think that all we needed was some good kielbasa, potatoes, and cabbage, and voila! hobo dinner. (That’s the Polish roots in me.)

Next week I’ll be at a similar event, the Stoltzfus “picnic” (can an indoor event be a picnic?) at the Civic Center. (We may as well use it for something, Lord knows we can’t get good concerts there!) Our honored guest that afternoon will be Lt. Gov. Michael Steele. I’ll have my camera along again although I won’t vouch for how well indoor pictures come out. It reminds me that tonight will be the return of my Election Calendar, so I’ll peruse the websites for nuggets and see whose mailing lists I need to get on to be notified of events upcoming on the lower Eastern Shore.

Joy in Mudhenville – again!!

It’s back2back championships for the Toledo Mud Hens!!! They won the IL pennant tonight by blasting Rochester 10-1 in front of a sold-out frenzied crowd of 10,300 at Fifth Third Field.

2006 was much different for the Hens. Last year they cruised to the best record in the IL and, after escaping Norfolk to get past the first round, they swept the wildcard Indianapolis Indians to win their first pennant since 1967 (I was 2 years old when they won.) This year, they blew their first opportunity to lay the hammer down and win the division on the last day of the season, so Toledo fans had to sweat out a one-game playoff at Fifth Third against Indianapolis just to become eligible for the playoffs with the worst record of the four IL playoff teams at 77-66.

After a Game 1 loss to Charlotte at home, the Hens recovered in Game 2 to even the series – however, the last 3 games were scheduled in the Knights’ Castle, when Toledo was 0-4 this season (the last two scheduled regular season contests for the Hens in Charlotte were wiped out because of Tropical Storm Ernesto in late August.) But the Hens managed to broom the two contests in Charlotte and advance to the IL finals against the Rochester Red Wings, who were the IL wild card but knocked out the league’s best team recordwise (Scranton-Wilkes Barre). Much like the 2005 IL playoffs, the team with the better record (Rochester) was forced to play 3 road games, but this time it would be to Toledo’s advantage.

Toledo won the opener in New York, but dropped the second game there and the first back at home to fall behind in the series 2-1. But last night’s 6-0 whitewash of the Red Wings evened the series and set the stage for tonight’s heroics. Toledo took a 2-0 lead in the first, added 4 in the second on three homers and never looked back as the party could begin at home this season.

And as an added bonus, the Mud Hens advance to play the PCL champion Tucson Sidewinders in the first “Bricktown Showdown” on “the deuce” (ESPN2) Tuesday night from Oklahoma City. (Of course, that’s my bowling night. Hopefully they start at 7 p.m. local time so I can catch the end.)

Now I hope this is a sign of things to come. As the playoffs turned out, the Detroit Tigers’ top farm club first disposed of the Chicago White Sox’s top affiliate then defeated the top-level Minnesota Twins farmhands. I’ll happily take that Detroit/Minnesota/Chicago order in the AL Central this season as well.

Looking for rock stars

I know that there’s already a show called “Rockstar” (that briefly featured Phil Ritchie of the local band Lennex) but I want to see some up close and personal! Compared to 2005, which was my first summer here, this year’s been a complete dud concertwise.

A year ago in August I enjoyed the “Rock Never Stops” tour when it made an appearance in Salisbury, a concert that featured four bands that became popular in the 1980’s – Cinderella, Ratt (with Jizzy Pearl, onetime vocalist for L.A. Guns and Love/Hate, doing vocals instead of original member Stephen Pearcy), Quiet Riot, and Firehouse. Then November brought classic rockers Journey to the WYCC. Since then, phfffffft. Has it become a policy of Wicomico County (the Civic Center owners) to not have rock bands here anymore? They certainly can bring a lot of country acts in and I saw that there’s a show tentatively scheduled for February featuring guitar legend B.B. King, but there’s a pretty decent percentage of us out here that like to bang our head.

And of course we have what I consider the ill-advised decision by Clear Channel (who owns 96 Rock) to not bring in bands this year for Thirsty Thursday games and also making other programming decisions I didn’t care for (like dropping “Local Lixx” and “Local on the 8’s”). During the 2005 season I got to see some seriously kickass bands basically for free, and it continued a great introduction to the local music scene. For an area without a lot of population, the Delmarva area has quite a few great bands. I know a good percentage of them are based in the Baltimore and Philadelphia areas but the lower Eastern Shore can be a frequent stop; that is, if they’re given a reason to stop.

So what has 2006 brought? The only decent national band to have made the effort to play here was Lynard Skynard and unfortunately their ill-fated July 4th show was washed out by a severe thunderstorm. Now tonight I’m planning on making the drive over to Ocean Downs to see Foghat like I did last year to see classic Southern rockers Molly Hatchet. (I’ve missed Blackfoot two years in a row at Bike Week because they played Friday night, which is my bowling night.)

Now Foghat is an interesting blues-rock group that brings back memories of the first indoor concert I ever attended. In fact, they were an opening act at the first two concerts I went to, because they also were at the outdoor “Toledo Speedway Jam” earlier that summer. I still have the ticket stub for that indoor concert:

My Foghat concert ticket stub from my senior year in high school.

Unfortunately I’ve long since discarded the Blue Oyster Cult shirt I got at the concert, not that it would fit me anyway! I seem to recall the shirt cost $10 or so and the concert ticket was $7.50. But kids today have to pay at least $30-40 for the ticket and the same for the shirt. I know we’ve had inflation since 1981 but not that much!

But these kids also have to drive up to Baltimore/DC/Philly or down to Norfolk to see the national acts. I’m not expecting the Aerosmith/Motley Crue tour to stop in Salisbury but let’s make some efforts here! Even the classic groups would be great because the kids of today can see the influences their favorite bands had. And I can see some rockstars just a couple miles from my house again.

(Message to Dani if she’s reading this: Lennex is at Peabody’s in Cleveland on the 30th, go see them because you should like them.)